Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
---|---|---|
Artificial intelligence (AI) | 83.72 | 298 |
Intrinsic value (DCF) | 5.22 | -75 |
Graham-Dodd Method | 10.49 | -50 |
Graham Formula | 51.44 | 144 |
TEGNA Inc. (NYSE: TGNA) is a leading media company in the U.S., operating 64 television stations across 51 markets. Specializing in news, digital content, and advertising solutions, TEGNA delivers programming through broadcast, online, mobile, and social platforms. The company owns and operates multicast networks like True Crime Network, Quest, and Twist, catering to niche audiences with on-demand and original content. Additionally, TEGNA’s VAULT Studios produces true crime and investigative podcasts and TV programs, while its TEGNA Marketing Solutions (TMS) provides cross-platform advertising solutions, including the Premion OTT advertising network. Founded in 1906 and headquartered in Tysons, Virginia, TEGNA has evolved from its legacy as Gannett Co. into a modern, diversified media player. With a strong focus on local news and digital expansion, TEGNA remains a key player in the broadcasting sector, balancing traditional TV revenue with growing digital and OTT opportunities.
TEGNA presents a mixed investment case. On the positive side, the company benefits from stable cash flows driven by its local broadcasting operations and growing digital advertising revenue through Premion. Its diversified content strategy, including true crime and multicast networks, provides additional monetization avenues. However, TEGNA faces risks from cord-cutting trends, regulatory pressures in the broadcasting industry, and high leverage (total debt of ~$3.14B against a market cap of ~$2.67B). While its beta of 0.325 suggests lower volatility, the dividend yield (~1.9% at a $0.50 annual payout) is modest. Investors should weigh its strong free cash flow generation (~$632M in FY 2024E) against industry headwinds and debt levels.
TEGNA’s competitive advantage lies in its extensive local broadcasting footprint and digital transformation efforts. Its 64 TV stations provide scale in local news, a sticky revenue source despite cord-cutting. The company’s investment in multicast networks (True Crime, Quest) and VAULT Studios differentiates it from pure-play broadcasters by tapping into growing demand for niche and true crime content. TEGNA Marketing Solutions, particularly Premion, positions it well in the high-growth OTT advertising space. However, TEGNA lacks the national scale of major media conglomerates and relies heavily on advertising cycles. Its debt load (~1.2x revenue) limits flexibility compared to peers with stronger balance sheets. While TEGNA’s local focus insulates it somewhat from streaming competition, it must continue pivoting to digital to offset linear TV declines. The company’s ability to monetize digital content and maintain political/advertising revenue cyclicality will be critical to its long-term positioning.