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Stock Analysis & ValuationVillage Farms International, Inc. (VFF.TO)

Previous Close
$8.12
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)n/an/a
Intrinsic value (DCF)n/a
Graham-Dodd Method5.30-35
Graham Formula6.50-20
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Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Village Farms International, Inc. (TSX: VFF) is a diversified agribusiness company headquartered in Delta, Canada, with operations spanning greenhouse-grown produce, energy generation, and cannabis production. Founded in 1989, the company operates through three key segments: Produce Business, Energy Business, and Cannabis and Hemp Business. Village Farms is a leading North American producer of greenhouse-grown tomatoes, bell peppers, and cucumbers, marketed under its flagship Village Farms brand to retail supermarkets and fresh food distributors. The company also owns a 7.0-megawatt power plant in British Columbia, selling electricity to BC Hydro. Additionally, Village Farms has expanded into the high-growth cannabis sector, leveraging its agricultural expertise to produce and supply cannabis products. With a vertically integrated supply chain and a focus on sustainable farming practices, Village Farms is well-positioned in the consumer defensive sector, catering to both traditional agriculture and emerging cannabis markets.

Investment Summary

Village Farms International presents a unique investment opportunity due to its diversified business model, combining stable agricultural operations with exposure to the high-growth cannabis industry. The company reported FY 2020 revenue of CAD 170.1 million and net income of CAD 11.6 million, with a diluted EPS of CAD 0.19. However, investors should note the company's high beta of 3.715, indicating significant volatility relative to the market. The cannabis segment offers growth potential but comes with regulatory risks and competitive pressures. The produce segment provides steady cash flow, while the energy business adds another revenue stream. With CAD 21.6 million in cash and CAD 82.5 million in total debt, the company's balance sheet is moderately leveraged. The dividend yield appears attractive at CAD 1.25 per share, but sustainability should be monitored given the capital-intensive nature of its operations.

Competitive Analysis

Village Farms International competes in three distinct markets: greenhouse produce, energy, and cannabis. In the produce segment, its competitive advantage lies in its large-scale, vertically integrated greenhouse operations, which allow for year-round production and consistent quality. The company's long-standing relationships with retail supermarkets provide a stable distribution network. In the cannabis sector, Village Farms benefits from its agricultural expertise and existing infrastructure, though it faces intense competition from well-capitalized pure-play cannabis companies. The energy business is relatively small but provides a steady income stream. The company's main challenges include the capital-intensive nature of greenhouse farming, price volatility in the cannabis market, and regulatory uncertainties. Its diversified model helps mitigate risks but may also dilute focus compared to specialized competitors. Village Farms' ability to leverage its agricultural expertise across different segments is a key differentiator, though execution risks remain, particularly in the highly competitive cannabis space.

Major Competitors

  • Aphria Inc. (APHA.TO): Aphria (now part of Tilray) was a leading Canadian cannabis producer with strong international operations. It had advantages in scale and branding but faced challenges in profitability. Compared to Village Farms, Aphria was more focused on cannabis, lacking the diversified agricultural base that provides Village Farms with stable cash flows.
  • Aurora Cannabis Inc. (ACB.TO): Aurora Cannabis is one of the largest global cannabis companies, with extensive production capacity. However, it has struggled with oversupply and profitability issues. Unlike Village Farms, Aurora lacks the diversified revenue streams from traditional agriculture, making it more vulnerable to cannabis market fluctuations.
  • Canopy Growth Corporation (CGC): Canopy Growth is a market leader in cannabis with strong brand recognition and financial backing from Constellation Brands. Its scale and resources give it an edge over Village Farms in the cannabis space, but it doesn't have Village Farms' produce or energy businesses to provide stability during cannabis market downturns.
  • Tilray, Inc. (TLRY): Tilray, formed by the merger of Aphria and Tilray, is a global cannabis leader with operations in multiple countries. It has greater international reach than Village Farms but lacks the agricultural diversification that helps Village Farms mitigate sector-specific risks.
  • The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG): Scotts Miracle-Gro operates in the cannabis space through its Hawthorne Gardening subsidiary, providing hydroponic equipment and nutrients. While not a direct competitor in cannabis production, it's a major player in the ancillary cannabis market. Unlike Village Farms, it doesn't engage in actual cannabis cultivation or traditional agriculture.
  • Calavo Growers, Inc. (CVGW): Calavo Growers is a fresh produce company with operations in avocados, tomatoes, and other produce. It competes with Village Farms in the fresh produce segment but lacks the cannabis and energy diversification. Calavo's strength lies in its avocado business, which Village Farms doesn't currently compete in.
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