Intrinsic value of AAON, Inc. (AAON)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of AAON

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of AAON stock

Previous Close$68.64
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$68.64

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2020-12-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %9.6NaN
Revenue, $515NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m413NaN
Operating income, $m102NaN
EBITDA, $m128NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m102NaN
Tax expense, $m23NaN
Net income, $m79NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m82NaN
Total assets, $m449NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m367NaN
Average production assets, $m204NaN
Working capital, $m161NaN
Total debt, $m92NaN
Total liabilities, $m98NaN
Total equity, $m351NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.262NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.732NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m79NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m26NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m129NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-68NaN
Free cash flow, $m197NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m161
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN