Price · as of 2024-12-31
$93.59
Market cap 8.26B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $65.15 | -30.39% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $143.49 | +53.32% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $14.66 | -84.34% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $22.36 | -76.11% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $5.05 | $28.26 | $0.11 | $2.35 | $4.60 |
| 2011 | $4.94 | $47.73 | $0.00 | $2.79 | $6.25 |
| 2012 | $6.81 | $47.10 | $0.78 | $2.58 | $10.60 |
| 2013 | $12.57 | $81.39 | $1.41 | $2.91 | $6.30 |
| 2014 | $13.75 | $53.90 | $5.40 | $4.56 | $15.03 |
| 2015 | $15.83 | $84.03 | $1.12 | $2.81 | $4.87 |
| 2016 | $22.35 | $33.87 | $1.91 | $3.53 | $9.88 |
| 2017 | $24.07 | $34.70 | $1.24 | $3.83 | $9.23 |
| 2018 | $26.69 | $34.05 | $0.03 | $2.62 | $7.94 |
| 2019 | $38.10 | $38.24 | $0.38 | $3.91 | $10.98 |
| 2020 | $48.67 | $46.11 | $3.61 | $5.69 | $17.48 |
| 2021 | $35.19 | $40.47 | $0.00 | $4.77 | $8.79 |
| 2022 | $59.53 | $56.26 | $276.41 | $8.00 | $90.12 |
| 2023 | $81.09 | $64.96 | $712.68 | $14.11 | $83.53 |
| 2024 | $81.70 | $65.15 | $358.27 | $14.66 | $22.36 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates AAON, Inc.'s (AAON) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $65.15
- Current price
- $93.59
- AI upside
- -30.39%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$143.49
+53.32% upside
Graham-Dodd
$14.66
-84.34% upside
Graham Formula
$22.36
-76.11% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| AAON | AAON, Inc. | $93.59 | 8.26B | -30% | +53% | -84% | -76% | 39.49 | 8.07 | 5.54 | 25.06 | — | 10.02 | 33.07% | 17.42% | 14.04% | 21.61% | 19.16% | 15.93% | 0.21 | 71.99 | 2.79 | 1.64 | 0.63 | -516.00% | 275.00% | -10573.00% | -0.05% | 1.10 | -0.35% | 0.39% | 15.50% | 1.89% | 32.65 | -2182.56 | 5.69 | 14.22 |
| AEIS | Advanced Energy Industrie… | $335.57 | 12.67B | -49% | -56% | -88% | -66% | 85.73 | 9.39 | 7.12 | 49.33 | 50.87 | 13.55 | 37.25% | 10.85% | 8.25% | 11.64% | 14.38% | 6.21% | 0.50 | 11.69 | 1.59 | 1.13 | -0.44 | 16853.00% | 2137.00% | 7023.00% | 0.98% | 0.24 | 10.48% | 0.12% | 10.40% | 0.84% | 65.00 | 100.78 | 7.05 | 8.35 |
| AGCO | AGCO Corporation | $136.50 | 10.19B | -36% | -60% | -54% | — | 14.03 | 2.39 | 1.01 | 12.07 | — | 5.99 | 24.75% | 6.93% | 7.21% | 18.13% | 11.64% | 6.29% | 0.63 | 10.52 | 1.39 | 0.52 | 1.83 | -27135.00% | -1355.00% | 14956.00% | 7.26% | 0.26 | 12.33% | 0.85% | 11.90% | 6.64% | 17.20 | 16.24 | 1.19 | 2.73 |
| AWI | Armstrong World Industrie… | $173.50 | 7.48B | -15% | -37% | -71% | -19% | 24.29 | 8.33 | 4.63 | 18.27 | 137.96 | 29.10 | 40.64% | 26.59% | 19.05% | 37.24% | 25.59% | 16.39% | 0.59 | 13.06 | 1.46 | 0.91 | 0.97 | 1761.00% | 1211.00% | 9321.00% | 4.74% | 1.33 | 27.37% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.35% | 18.38 | 22.27 | 4.89 | 7.37 |
| DY | Dycom Industries, Inc. | $420.02 | 12.16B | -74% | -69% | -83% | -61% | 17.33 | 3.26 | 0.86 | 8.81 | 232.25 | 5.87 | 15.60% | 7.24% | 4.96% | 20.35% | 12.88% | 8.55% | 0.85 | 5.58 | 2.89 | 2.63 | 1.70 | 746.00% | 1261.00% | 14365.00% | 2.44% | 0.59 | 4.92% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.62% | 14.68 | 50.66 | 1.06 | 4.43 |
| FLR | Fluor Corporation | $52.31 | 7.67B | -9% | -51% | -66% | — | -168.93 | 2.66 | 0.56 | -24.13 | — | 2.66 | -0.77% | -2.34% | -0.33% | -1.42% | -11.02% | -0.59% | 0.33 | -8.64 | 1.91 | 1.77 | 4.35 | -10252.00% | -497.00% | -16581.00% | -5.07% | -0.11 | -33.17% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 8.75% | -16.29 | -13.53 | 0.38 | 3.75 |
| IESC | IES Holdings, Inc. | $495.35 | 9.87B | -46% | +100% | -77% | -25% | 27.38 | 9.66 | 2.53 | 19.14 | 52.78 | 11.62 | 25.49% | 11.38% | 9.08% | 41.72% | 43.44% | 21.96% | 0.18 | 211.43 | 1.71 | 1.50 | 0.07 | 5187.00% | 1689.00% | 1564.00% | 2.56% | 0.45 | 32.48% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.49% | 22.07 | 38.67 | 2.51 | 11.19 |
| PRIM | Primoris Services Corpora… | $150.72 | 8.15B | -44% | +128% | -76% | -11% | 29.67 | 4.85 | 1.08 | 17.62 | 57.44 | 12.87 | 10.73% | 5.46% | 3.63% | 17.79% | 13.00% | 6.39% | 0.76 | 14.42 | 1.26 | 1.16 | 1.46 | 5166.00% | 1897.00% | -1081.00% | 4.17% | 0.25 | 14.93% | 0.21% | 6.30% | 0.36% | 21.48 | 26.12 | 1.17 | 4.40 |
| SSD | Simpson Manufacturing Co.… | $193.57 | 8.03B | -12% | -59% | -60% | -46% | 23.33 | 3.97 | 3.45 | 14.94 | 277.01 | 7.43 | 45.85% | 18.97% | 14.79% | 17.96% | 15.49% | 11.88% | 0.28 | — | 3.54 | 1.80 | 0.33 | 842.00% | 451.00% | 8860.00% | 3.70% | 1.20 | 13.96% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.76% | 18.59 | 27.65 | 3.53 | 6.27 |
| TTEK | Tetra Tech, Inc. | $35.84 | 9.35B | +10% | +10% | — | -67% | 17.75 | 5.06 | 1.65 | 21.05 | — | -23.02 | 17.66% | 11.09% | 4.55% | 28.10% | 15.20% | 11.97% | 0.55 | 14.85 | 1.18 | 1.07 | 1.76 | -2439.00% | 469.00% | 2892.00% | 4.88% | 0.33 | 16.84% | 0.72% | 12.80% | 3.50% | 16.28 | 22.38 | 1.81 | 4.58 |
| ZWS | Zurn Elkay Water Solution… | $50.98 | 8.53B | -7% | -45% | -90% | -63% | 43.41 | 5.36 | 5.07 | 23.75 | 199.68 | -321.90 | 41.64% | 17.01% | 11.68% | 12.41% | 11.33% | 7.43% | 0.36 | 10.09 | 3.13 | 1.92 | 0.75 | 2174.00% | 826.00% | 1653.00% | 3.68% | 1.34 | 16.56% | 0.74% | 32.30% | 3.46% | 30.76 | 28.03 | 5.23 | 5.44 |
About AAON, Inc.
AAON, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering, manufacturing, marketing, and selling air conditioning and heating equipment in the United States and Canada. The company operates through three segments: AAON Oklahoma, AAON Coil Products, and BasX. It offers rooftop units, data center cooling solutions, cleanroom systems, chillers, packaged outdoor mechanical rooms, air handling units, makeup air units, energy recovery units, condensing units, geothermal/water-source heat pumps, coils, and controls. The company markets and sells its products to retail, manufacturing, educational, lodging, supermarket, data centers, medical and pharmaceutical, and other commercial industries. It sells its products through a network of independent manufacturer representative organizations and internal sales force. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
- CEO
- Matthew J. Tobolski
- Employees
- 4.81K
- Beta
- 1.11
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($143.49 ÷ $93.59) − 1 = +53.32% (DCF, example).