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Intrinsic value of Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (ACHC)

Previous Close$81.37
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$81.37

VALUATION INPUT DATA (original, your and others' valuations)

ParameterOrig.Your
Date of valuation (DoV)  
Intrinsic value (IV) at DoV, $/sh  
IV at current val. algorithm, $/sh28.1 

The original valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

Registered users can save their valuation input data

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

Company description

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. develops and operates inpatient psychiatric facilities, residential treatment centers, group homes, substance abuse facilities, and outpatient behavioral healthcare facilities to serve the behavioral health and recovery needs of communities in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Puerto Rico. The company operates acute inpatient psychiatric facilities, which cares to stabilize patients that are either threat to themselves or others by hourly observation, daily intervention, and monitoring by psychiatrists; and specialty treatment facilities, including residential recovery and eating disorder facilities, and comprehensive treatment centers that provide continuum care for adults with addictive disorders and co-occurring mental disorders. It also provides residential treatment centers, which treat patients with behavioral disorders in a non-hospital setting, including outdoor programs; and outpatient community-based services, such as community-based programs that are designed to offer therapeutic treatment to children and adolescents who have a clinically-defined emotional, psychiatric, or chemical dependency disorders. In addition, the company provides mental health rehabilitation services comprising relapse prevention and social integration services, as well as vocational opportunities; acute services for patients at risk to themselves or others, as well as crisis intervention and treatment of behavioral emergencies; and long-term and non-acute care services for adults suffering from mental illness, addiction, learning disability, or brain injury. Further, it provides education and children's services for children and young people with special educational needs; adult care services; and care first services for employees. As of December 31, 2019, the company operated a network of 585 behavioral healthcare facilities with 18,200 beds. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Franklin, Tennessee.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %10.7NaN
Revenue, $2314NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m1900NaN
Operating income, $m414NaN
EBITDA, $m521NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m272NaN
Tax expense, $m68NaN
Net income, $m204NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m134NaN
Total assets, $m4768NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m4634NaN
Average production assets, $m4035NaN
Working capital, $m90NaN
Total debt, $m1649NaN
Total liabilities, $m2251NaN
Total equity, $m2517NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.655NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.524NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m204NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m107NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m374NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-241NaN
Free cash flow, $m616NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m90
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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