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Intrinsic value of Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG)

Previous Close$155.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$155.00
* Our model cannot be used “out of the box” for the valuation of this stock. You can still do your own valuation by changing the valuation input parameters.

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
32,318

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %17.5NaN
Revenue, $8055NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m6854NaN
Operating income, $m1201NaN
EBITDA, $m1768NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m927NaN
Tax expense, $m20NaN
Net income, $m907NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m4466NaN
Total assets, $m33345NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m28879NaN
Average production assets, $m11416NaN
Working capital, $m935NaN
Total debt, $m6676NaN
Total liabilities, $m24837NaN
Total equity, $m8508NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.785NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.159NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m907NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m566NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m1704NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-129NaN
Free cash flow, $m1833NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m935
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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