investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Albemarle Corporation (ALB)

Previous Close$70.98
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$70.98

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Albemarle Corporation is a global leader in the specialty chemicals industry, with a primary focus on lithium, bromine, and catalysts. The company operates across three key segments: Lithium, Bromine Specialties, and Catalysts, serving diverse end markets such as energy storage, electronics, and refining. Albemarle's lithium business is particularly critical, supplying battery-grade materials essential for electric vehicles and renewable energy storage, positioning it at the forefront of the energy transition. The company's vertically integrated operations and long-term customer contracts provide stability, while its technological expertise and global footprint reinforce its competitive edge. Albemarle's bromine segment caters to flame retardants and other high-performance applications, while its catalysts business supports petroleum refining and pollution control. As a key player in the lithium-ion battery supply chain, Albemarle benefits from secular growth trends in electrification and sustainability, though it faces pricing volatility and geopolitical risks inherent in commodity markets.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Albemarle reported revenue of $5.38 billion for FY 2024, reflecting its scale in specialty chemicals. However, the company posted a net loss of $1.18 billion, with diluted EPS of -$11.20, likely due to lithium price corrections and operational challenges. Operating cash flow stood at $702 million, while capital expenditures were significant at $1.69 billion, underscoring heavy investments in capacity expansion. The balance between growth spending and profitability remains a focal point for investors.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's negative earnings in FY 2024 highlight cyclical pressures, particularly in lithium markets. Albemarle's capital-intensive business model requires sustained investment to maintain its market position, as seen in its high capex. The ability to convert revenue into cash flow ($702 million operating cash flow) suggests underlying operational resilience, but margin recovery will depend on lithium demand stabilization and cost discipline.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Albemarle maintains a solid liquidity position with $1.19 billion in cash and equivalents, though total debt of $3.62 billion indicates leveraged growth. The balance sheet supports its aggressive expansion strategy, but debt servicing and capex commitments could strain flexibility if earnings do not rebound. The company's ability to manage leverage while funding growth initiatives will be critical in the medium term.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Despite FY 2024 losses, Albemarle's long-term growth is tied to electrification trends, with lithium demand expected to rise. The company paid a dividend of $2.65 per share, signaling commitment to shareholder returns, though sustainability depends on earnings recovery. Strategic investments in lithium capacity aim to capture future demand, but near-term profitability remains exposed to commodity cycles.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Albemarle's valuation reflects its cyclicality and growth potential. The market likely prices in a lithium market recovery, given the company's leading position. However, negative earnings and high capex may weigh on multiples until margins improve. Investors appear to balance long-term secular demand against short-term operational headwinds.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Albemarle's strengths lie in its technological leadership, vertical integration, and global customer base. The outlook hinges on lithium market stabilization and execution of expansion projects. While near-term challenges persist, the company is well-positioned to benefit from energy transition tailwinds, provided it navigates pricing volatility and maintains financial discipline.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount