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IntroductionThe concept of valuationRevenue and revenue growthVariable costsFixed costsProduction assets

Intrinsic value of Albemarle Corporation (ALB)

Previous Close$236.44
Intrinsic Value$27.00
Upside potential  -89%
Previous Close
$236.44
Intrinsic Value
$27.00*
Potential        
-89%
Use floor (the cash flow based valuation has rendered a result, which is lower than an estimated minimum value derived from the company’s balance sheet analysis)

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
27,663

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %6.4NaN
Revenue, $3328NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m2530NaN
Operating income, $m798NaN
EBITDA, $m1052NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m153NaN
Tax expense, $m29NaN
Net income, $m124NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m439NaN
Total assets, $m10974NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m10535NaN
Average production assets, $m7739NaN
Working capital, $m134NaN
Total debt, $m2553NaN
Total liabilities, $m5349NaN
Total equity, $m5625NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.454NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.532NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m124NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m254NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m344NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-954NaN
Free cash flow, $m1298NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m134
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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