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Intrinsic value of Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK)

Previous Close$47.41
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$47.41

VALUATION INPUT DATA (original, your and others' valuations)

ParameterOrig.Your
Date of valuation (DoV)  
Intrinsic value (IV) at DoV, $/sh  
IV at current val. algorithm, $/sh48.45 

The original valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-09-30.

Registered users can save their valuation input data

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

Company description

Alaska Air Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services. The company operates through three segments: Mainline, Regional, and Horizon. It flies to approximately 120 destinations throughout North America. Alaska Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is based in Seattle, Washington.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %73.2NaN
Revenue, $6176NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m5491NaN
Operating income, $m685NaN
EBITDA, $m1079NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m629NaN
Tax expense, $m151NaN
Net income, $m478NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m3116NaN
Total assets, $m13951NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m10835NaN
Average production assets, $m8609NaN
Working capital, $m-71NaN
Total debt, $m2539NaN
Total liabilities, $m10150NaN
Total equity, $m3801NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.668NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.097NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m478NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m394NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m1030NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-290NaN
Free cash flow, $m1320NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m-71
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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