Intrinsic value of Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of AMZN

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of AMZN stock

Previous Close$3,331.48
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$3,331.48

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %37.6NaN
Revenue, $386064NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m363165NaN
Operating income, $m22899NaN
EBITDA, $m48150NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m24194NaN
Tax expense, $m2863NaN
Net income, $m21331NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m84653NaN
Total assets, $m321195NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m236542NaN
Average production assets, $m143657NaN
Working capital, $m6348NaN
Total debt, $m100504NaN
Total liabilities, $m227791NaN
Total equity, $m93404NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio1.076NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.105NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m21331NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m25251NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m66064NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-35044NaN
Free cash flow, $m101108NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m6348
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN