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IntroductionThe concept of valuationRevenue and revenue growthVariable costsFixed costsProduction assets

Intrinsic value of Aptiv PLC (APTV)

Previous Close$93.58
Intrinsic Value$30.19
Upside potential  -68%
Previous Close
$93.58
Intrinsic Value
$30.19
Potential        
-68%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
25,313

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %19.5NaN
Revenue, $15618NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m14429NaN
Operating income, $m1189NaN
EBITDA, $m1962NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m628NaN
Tax expense, $m101NaN
Net income, $m527NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m3139NaN
Total assets, $m18007NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m14868NaN
Average production assets, $m7252NaN
Working capital, $m4195NaN
Total debt, $m4463NaN
Total liabilities, $m9660NaN
Total equity, $m8347NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.535NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.357NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m527NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m773NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m1216NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-602NaN
Free cash flow, $m1818NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m4195
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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