Investor’s Craft

Intrinsic value of ASML Holding N.V. (ASML)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

➔ other valuations of ASML

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  ➔ See other valuations of ASML stock

Previous Close$748.14
Intrinsic Value$123.52
Upside potential  -83%
Previous Close
$748.14
Intrinsic Value
$123.52
Potential        
-83%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %20.6NaN
Revenue, $15968NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m11340NaN
Operating income, $m4628NaN
EBITDA, $m5189NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m4689NaN
Tax expense, $m630NaN
Net income, $m4059NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m8398NaN
Total assets, $m31148NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m22750NaN
Average production assets, $m8935NaN
Working capital, $m10654NaN
Total debt, $m5344NaN
Total liabilities, $m15309NaN
Total equity, $m15838NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.337NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.328NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m4059NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m561NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m5286NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-1099NaN
Free cash flow, $m6385NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m10654
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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