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Intrinsic value of ConocoPhillips (COP)

Previous Close$123.06
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$123.06
Use floor (the cash flow based valuation has rendered a result, which is lower than an estimated minimum value derived from the company’s balance sheet analysis)

VALUATION INPUT DATA (original, your and others' valuations)

ParameterOrig.Your
Date of valuation (DoV)  
Intrinsic value (IV) at DoV, $/sh  
IV at current val. algorithm, $/sh73.99 

The original valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-09-30.

Registered users can save their valuation input data

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

Company description

ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas liquids worldwide. It primarily engages in the conventional and tight oil reservoirs, shale gas, heavy oil, LNG, oil sands, and other production operations. The company's portfolio includes unconventional plays in North America; conventional assets in North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia; various LNG developments; oil sands assets in Canada; and an inventory of conventional and unconventional exploration prospects. ConocoPhillips was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %145.4NaN
Revenue, $46056NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m32240NaN
Operating income, $m13816NaN
EBITDA, $m21068NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m12712NaN
Tax expense, $m4633NaN
Net income, $m8079NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m5626NaN
Total assets, $m90661NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m85035NaN
Average production assets, $m53194NaN
Working capital, $m4029NaN
Total debt, $m20601NaN
Total liabilities, $m45255NaN
Total equity, $m45406NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.454NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.484NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m8079NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m7252NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m16996NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-3671NaN
Free cash flow, $m20667NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m4029
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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