Intrinsic value of Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of COST

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of COST stock

Previous Close$423.43
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$423.43

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-08-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-02-28.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %9.2NaN
Revenue, $166761NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m161326NaN
Operating income, $m5435NaN
EBITDA, $m7080NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m5310NaN
Tax expense, $m1308NaN
Net income, $m4002NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m13305NaN
Total assets, $m55556NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m42251NaN
Average production assets, $m21349NaN
Working capital, $m3276NaN
Total debt, $m7609NaN
Total liabilities, $m36851NaN
Total equity, $m18705NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.407NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.130NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m4002NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m1645NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m8861NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-2810NaN
Free cash flow, $m11671NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m3276
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN