Investor’s Craft

Intrinsic value of Encore Capital Group Inc (ECPG)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

➔ other valuations of ECPG

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  ➔ See other valuations of ECPG stock

Previous Close$43.23
Intrinsic Value$18.27
Upside potential  -58%
Previous Close
$43.23
Intrinsic Value
$18.27
Potential        
-58%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2020-12-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %7.4NaN
Revenue, $1501NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m1219NaN
Operating income, $m283NaN
EBITDA, $m326NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m282NaN
Tax expense, $m70NaN
Net income, $m212NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m189NaN
Total assets, $m4865NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m4675NaN
Average production assets, $m1019NaN
Working capital, $m-27NaN
Total debt, $m3282NaN
Total liabilities, $m3644NaN
Total equity, $m1220NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio2.690NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.220NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m212NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m43NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m313NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-35NaN
Free cash flow, $m347NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m-27
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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