investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Extra Space Storage Inc. (EXR)

Previous Close$150.45
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$150.45

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Extra Space Storage Inc. (EXR) is a leading self-storage real estate investment trust (REIT) in the U.S., operating a diversified portfolio of over 2,000 properties across 41 states. The company generates revenue primarily through rental income from its storage units, complemented by ancillary services such as tenant insurance and truck rentals. EXR’s scalable platform leverages technology for operational efficiency, including automated rental processes and dynamic pricing algorithms. The self-storage industry benefits from resilient demand drivers, including urbanization, downsizing trends, and business storage needs. EXR maintains a competitive edge through strategic acquisitions, third-party management agreements, and a strong brand presence. Its market position is reinforced by a focus on high-growth metropolitan areas and a customer-centric approach, ensuring high occupancy rates and stable cash flows. The company’s hybrid model of owned and managed properties provides flexibility to capitalize on market opportunities while mitigating risks.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, EXR reported revenue of $3.26 billion, with net income of $854.7 million, reflecting a robust net margin of approximately 26.2%. The company’s operating cash flow stood at $1.89 billion, underscoring strong cash generation capabilities. Notably, EXR achieved this without significant capital expenditures, highlighting its asset-light strategy and efficient capital allocation. The diluted EPS of $4.03 demonstrates consistent earnings growth, supported by high operational leverage and cost discipline.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

EXR’s earnings power is driven by its ability to maintain high occupancy rates and optimize rental yields. The company’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to generate substantial operating cash flow relative to its asset base. With no reported capital expenditures in FY 2024, EXR has prioritized returning capital to shareholders and funding growth through internally generated cash flows, enhancing its return on invested capital.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

EXR’s balance sheet shows $138.2 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $13.03 billion, indicating a leveraged but manageable financial position. The company’s debt is primarily long-term and fixed-rate, mitigating interest rate risk. Its strong cash flow generation provides ample coverage for debt servicing and dividend payments, ensuring financial stability. The REIT structure mandates high payout ratios, but EXR’s consistent performance supports its dividend commitments.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

EXR has demonstrated steady growth through acquisitions and organic initiatives, with a dividend per share of $6.5 in FY 2024. The company’s dividend policy aligns with its REIT requirements, distributing a significant portion of taxable income to shareholders. Growth prospects are supported by urbanization trends and the increasing need for storage solutions, positioning EXR for sustained revenue expansion and dividend growth.

Valuation And Market Expectations

EXR’s valuation reflects its stable cash flows and growth potential, trading at a premium relative to peers due to its strong market position and operational efficiency. Market expectations are anchored on the company’s ability to maintain high occupancy rates and execute accretive acquisitions. The REIT’s consistent dividend payments and earnings growth further bolster investor confidence, supporting its valuation multiples.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

EXR’s strategic advantages include its national footprint, technological integration, and disciplined capital allocation. The outlook remains positive, driven by resilient demand for self-storage and the company’s ability to capitalize on market fragmentation. Potential risks include economic downturns impacting discretionary spending and competitive pressures, but EXR’s scale and operational expertise position it well to navigate these challenges and sustain long-term growth.

Sources

10-K, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount