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Intrinsic Value of FirstCash Holdings, Inc (FCFS)

Previous Close$131.43
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$131.43

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

FirstCash Holdings, Inc. operates as a leading specialty finance company in the pawn lending and retail services sector, primarily serving underbanked consumers in the U.S. and Latin America. The company generates revenue through pawn loans, which are secured by personal collateral, and the sale of merchandise acquired through forfeited loans or direct purchases. Its dual revenue stream—interest income from loans and retail sales—provides stability across economic cycles. FirstCash differentiates itself through its extensive store network, data-driven underwriting, and focus on customer convenience. The company holds a strong market position in Latin America, where it benefits from favorable demographics and limited banking penetration, while maintaining steady growth in the U.S. through acquisitions and organic expansion. Its vertically integrated model, combining lending and retail, enhances profitability and mitigates risk. The pawn industry remains highly fragmented, allowing FirstCash to consolidate market share through disciplined M&A and operational efficiencies.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

FirstCash reported revenue of $3.39 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $258.8 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 7.6%. The company generated $539.96 million in operating cash flow, demonstrating strong cash conversion. Capital expenditures totaled $68.25 million, indicating disciplined reinvestment in store expansion and technology. Diluted EPS stood at $5.73, supported by efficient cost management and scale benefits.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is underpinned by high-margin pawn loan operations and retail sales, with stable interest income and inventory turnover. Operating cash flow coverage of capital expenditures (7.9x) highlights robust capital efficiency. FirstCash’s ability to recycle collateral into retail inventory enhances asset utilization, while its scalable platform supports incremental profitability from new store openings.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

FirstCash maintains a leveraged balance sheet, with total debt of $2.05 billion against cash and equivalents of $175.1 million. The debt load reflects its acquisitive growth strategy, though the asset-backed nature of pawn loans provides collateral support. Liquidity appears adequate, with operating cash flow comfortably covering interest obligations and growth investments.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has pursued growth through strategic acquisitions and same-store sales improvements, particularly in Latin America. A dividend of $1.52 per share signals commitment to shareholder returns, though the payout ratio remains modest, allowing reinvestment in expansion. Same-store revenue growth and store count increases are key metrics to monitor.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a P/E multiple derived from $5.73 EPS, FirstCash’s valuation reflects expectations of steady growth in pawn loan demand and retail sales. The market likely prices in continued consolidation opportunities and margin stability, though macroeconomic sensitivity in core markets remains a consideration.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

FirstCash benefits from its entrenched market position, operational scale, and diversified geographic footprint. Near-term growth will hinge on Latin American expansion and U.S. market share gains. Long-term prospects are tied to financial inclusion trends, though regulatory risks in the pawn industry persist. The company’s focus on technology and customer experience should support sustainable competitive advantages.

Sources

Company 10-K, investor filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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