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Intrinsic value of Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL)

Previous Close$6.82
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$6.82

VALUATION INPUT DATA (original, your and others' valuations)

ParameterOrig.Your
Date of valuation (DoV)  
Intrinsic value (IV) at DoV, $/sh  
IV at current val. algorithm, $/sh17.16 

The original valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

Registered users can save their valuation input data

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

Company description

Fossil Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company's products include traditional watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses. It also manufactures and distributes private label brands, as well as purchases and resells branded products in non-FOSSIL branded retail stores. The company offers its products under its proprietary brands, such as FOSSIL, SKAGEN, MICHELE, MISFIT, RELIC, and ZODIAC; and under the licensed brands, including ARMANI EXCHANGE, BMW, CHAPS BY RALPH LAUREN, DIESEL, DKNY, EMPORIO ARMANI, KATE SPADE NEW YORK, MICHAEL KORS, PUMA, and TORY BURCH. The company sells its products through company-owned retail and outlet stores, department stores, specialty retail stores, specialty watch and jewelry stores, mass market stores, e-commerce sites, licensed and franchised FOSSIL retail stores, and retail concessions, as well as sells its products on airlines and cruise ships. As of December 28, 2019, it owned and operated 59 retail stores and 101 outlet stores located in the United States, as well as 162 retail stores and 122 outlet stores internationally. The company was formerly known as Fossil, Inc. and changed its name to Fossil Group, Inc. in May 2013. Fossil Group, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %15.9NaN
Revenue, $1870NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m1777NaN
Operating income, $m93NaN
EBITDA, $m212NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m51NaN
Tax expense, $m26NaN
Net income, $m25NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m251NaN
Total assets, $m1369NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m1118NaN
Average production assets, $m320NaN
Working capital, $m487NaN
Total debt, $m375NaN
Total liabilities, $m906NaN
Total equity, $m463NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.810NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.242NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m25NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m120NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m156NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m1NaN
Free cash flow, $m155NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m487
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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