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Intrinsic Value of Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation (GLDD)

Previous Close$11.03
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$11.03

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation operates as a leading provider of dredging services in the United States, specializing in coastal protection, land reclamation, and marine construction. The company serves both public and private clients, including the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, port authorities, and energy sector players. Its core revenue model is project-based, driven by long-term contracts for harbor deepening, beach nourishment, and environmental remediation. GLDD holds a dominant position in the U.S. dredging market, leveraging its fleet of specialized vessels and technical expertise to secure large-scale infrastructure projects. The company benefits from steady demand tied to federal and state funding for waterway maintenance and climate resilience initiatives. Competitive advantages include its extensive operational experience, proprietary technology, and strategic partnerships with government agencies. Despite cyclicality in contract awards, GLDD maintains a robust backlog, ensuring revenue visibility and market leadership in a capital-intensive industry.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For FY 2024, GLDD reported revenue of $762.7 million, with net income of $57.3 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 7.5%. Diluted EPS stood at $0.84, supported by disciplined cost management and project execution. Operating cash flow was $70.1 million, though capital expenditures of $125.1 million highlight the fleet-intensive nature of the business. The company’s ability to convert revenue into cash flow remains critical for sustaining operations and debt service.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

GLDD’s earnings power is tied to its contract backlog and efficient fleet utilization. The company’s capital efficiency is moderated by high maintenance and vessel upgrade costs, as evidenced by negative free cash flow after capex. However, its project-based model allows for predictable earnings streams, with margins benefiting from operational scale and competitive bidding processes in the dredging sector.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows $10.2 million in cash against total debt of $547.7 million, indicating a leveraged position typical for capital-intensive industries. Debt management is a key focus, with liquidity supported by operating cash flows. The absence of dividends aligns with the company’s priority to reinvest in fleet modernization and debt reduction.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is driven by federal infrastructure spending and climate adaptation projects, though timing of contract awards can create volatility. GLDD does not pay dividends, opting to allocate capital toward growth initiatives and balance sheet strengthening. Backlog sustainability and fleet expansion are pivotal for long-term revenue growth.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely values GLDD based on its backlog visibility and exposure to infrastructure tailwinds. Trading multiples may reflect cyclical risks, but strategic positioning in coastal resilience could justify premium pricing over time. Investor focus remains on contract wins and margin stability.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

GLDD’s strategic advantages include its specialized fleet, government relationships, and technical expertise in complex dredging projects. The outlook is positive, supported by increasing demand for coastal protection and harbor maintenance, though execution risks and funding delays pose challenges. The company’s ability to secure large contracts and manage costs will determine its trajectory.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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