Intrinsic value of Groupon, Inc. (GRPN)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of GRPN

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of GRPN stock

Previous Close$46.24
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$46.24

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2020-12-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-36.2NaN
Revenue, $1417NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m1694NaN
Operating income, $m-277NaN
EBITDA, $m-65NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-295NaN
Tax expense, $m-8NaN
Net income, $m-288NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m851NaN
Total assets, $m1412NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m561NaN
Average production assets, $m408NaN
Working capital, $m-5NaN
Total debt, $m429NaN
Total liabilities, $m1304NaN
Total equity, $m108NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio3.989NaN
Adjusted equity ratio-0.968NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-288NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m212NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m-64NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-49NaN
Free cash flow, $m-15NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m-5
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN