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Intrinsic Value of Granite Construction Incorporated (GVA)

Previous Close$93.49
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$93.49

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Granite Construction Incorporated operates as a diversified infrastructure contractor and construction materials producer in the United States. The company specializes in heavy civil infrastructure projects, including transportation, water, and mineral exploration, while also producing construction materials like asphalt, concrete, and aggregates. Granite serves both public and private sector clients, with a significant portion of revenue derived from government-funded infrastructure projects. Its vertically integrated model allows for cost efficiencies and competitive bidding advantages. The company holds a strong regional presence, particularly in the Western U.S., where it leverages its scale and expertise to secure large-scale contracts. Granite’s market position is reinforced by its ability to self-perform critical project components, reducing reliance on subcontractors and enhancing margin stability. The infrastructure sector remains resilient due to sustained federal and state funding, positioning Granite to benefit from long-term demand trends in transportation and water infrastructure modernization.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Granite reported revenue of $4.01 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $126.3 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 3.2%. Diluted EPS stood at $2.41, demonstrating improved profitability compared to prior periods. Operating cash flow was robust at $456.3 million, supported by disciplined project execution and working capital management. Capital expenditures totaled $136.4 million, indicating reinvestment in equipment and materials production capabilities.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is underpinned by its ability to secure high-margin infrastructure projects and optimize material production. Operating cash flow coverage of capital expenditures suggests efficient capital deployment. Granite’s focus on self-performing projects enhances control over costs and timelines, contributing to steady returns. The balance between public and private sector work provides revenue diversification, mitigating cyclical risks.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Granite maintains a solid balance sheet with $578.3 million in cash and equivalents, providing liquidity for operations and growth initiatives. Total debt of $832.9 million reflects manageable leverage, with a conservative debt-to-equity ratio. The company’s strong cash position supports its ability to fund working capital needs and strategic investments without overreliance on external financing.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Granite’s growth is tied to infrastructure spending trends, with federal legislation like the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act providing tailwinds. The company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, driven by project backlog expansion. Its dividend policy remains stable, with a $0.52 annual dividend per share, offering a modest yield while retaining capital for reinvestment in high-return opportunities.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market values Granite at a P/E multiple reflective of its steady earnings growth and infrastructure sector exposure. Investor expectations are anchored around continued margin improvement and backlog execution. The company’s valuation is supported by its strong cash flow generation and participation in long-term infrastructure projects.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Granite’s strategic advantages include its vertically integrated model, regional expertise, and strong government relationships. The outlook remains positive, with infrastructure demand expected to remain robust. Risks include potential cost inflation and competitive bidding pressures, but Granite’s operational discipline positions it well to navigate these challenges.

Sources

Company 10-K, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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