Investor’s Craft

Intrinsic value of Granite Construction Incorporated (GVA)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

➔ other valuations of GVA

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  ➔ See other valuations of GVA stock

Previous Close$37.88
Intrinsic Value$8.72
Upside potential  -77%
Previous Close
$37.88
Intrinsic Value
$8.72
Potential        
-77%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %3.4NaN
Revenue, $3562NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m3721NaN
Operating income, $m-158NaN
EBITDA, $m-37NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-145NaN
Tax expense, $m-0NaN
Net income, $m-145NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m436NaN
Total assets, $m2380NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m1944NaN
Average production assets, $m725NaN
Working capital, $m512NaN
Total debt, $m339NaN
Total liabilities, $m1388NaN
Total equity, $m992NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.342NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.290NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-145NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m122NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m268NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-77NaN
Free cash flow, $m345NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m512
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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