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Intrinsic Value of HBT Financial, Inc. (HBT)

Previous Close$26.25
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$26.25

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

HBT Financial, Inc. operates as a bank holding company primarily serving small to mid-sized businesses, agricultural clients, and retail customers in the Midwest. The company generates revenue through traditional banking services, including commercial and retail lending, deposit accounts, and wealth management. Its market position is reinforced by a community-focused approach, leveraging local expertise to build long-term customer relationships in a competitive regional banking landscape. HBT differentiates itself through personalized service and a conservative credit culture, which has historically contributed to stable asset quality. The company operates in a fragmented industry, where regional banks like HBT compete with larger national institutions and smaller community banks. Its ability to maintain a strong local presence while offering competitive financial products positions it as a reliable intermediary for its target markets.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

HBT Financial reported revenue of $251.7 million for FY 2024, with net income reaching $71.8 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 28.5%. Diluted EPS stood at $2.26, indicating solid profitability. Operating cash flow was $87.0 million, with no capital expenditures recorded, suggesting efficient cash generation without significant reinvestment needs. The absence of capex highlights a lean operational model typical of regional banks.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is underscored by its ability to convert revenue into net income at a healthy margin. With no capital expenditures, HBT demonstrates strong capital efficiency, as operating cash flow fully supports earnings and dividends. The diluted EPS of $2.26 reflects effective utilization of its equity base, though further details on return metrics like ROE or ROA would provide deeper insight into capital allocation effectiveness.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

HBT’s balance sheet shows $137.7 million in cash and equivalents against $105.6 million in total debt, indicating a conservative leverage profile. The liquidity position appears robust, with cash covering approximately 130% of total debt. This conservative structure aligns with the company’s regional banking focus, prioritizing stability over aggressive growth. Shareholders’ equity is supported by retained earnings, though specific equity figures would further clarify financial health.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth trends are not explicitly detailed, but the dividend payout of $0.80 per share suggests a commitment to returning capital to shareholders. The absence of capex may indicate limited near-term expansion plans, focusing instead on organic growth within its existing markets. Further clarity on loan or deposit growth rates would better contextualize the company’s trajectory and dividend sustainability.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization implied by 31.6 million shares outstanding, HBT’s valuation metrics would depend on the current share price, which is not provided. The P/E ratio based on diluted EPS of $2.26 would offer insight into market expectations, but without additional data, a precise assessment is challenging. Regional banks often trade at modest multiples, reflecting their steady but slower-growth profiles.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

HBT’s strategic advantages lie in its localized expertise and conservative risk management, which have historically supported stable earnings. The outlook hinges on its ability to maintain asset quality and customer loyalty in a rising-rate environment. While the lack of capex suggests limited near-term expansion, the company’s strong liquidity and dividend policy may appeal to income-focused investors seeking regional bank exposure.

Sources

Company filings (CIK: 0000775215), inferred financials for FY 2024

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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