Intrinsic value of Warrior Met Coal Inc. (HCC)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of HCC

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of HCC stock

Previous Close$17.43
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$17.43

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-38.3NaN
Revenue, $783NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m810NaN
Operating income, $m-27NaN
EBITDA, $m95NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-56NaN
Tax expense, $m-20NaN
Net income, $m-36NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m220NaN
Total assets, $m1394NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m1174NaN
Average production assets, $m727NaN
Working capital, $m297NaN
Total debt, $m439NaN
Total liabilities, $m669NaN
Total equity, $m725NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.605NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.430NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-36NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m122NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m113NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-87NaN
Free cash flow, $m200NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m297
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN