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IntroductionThe concept of valuationRevenue and revenue growthVariable costsFixed costsProduction assets

Intrinsic value of Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL)

Previous Close$48.26
Intrinsic Value$12.45
Upside potential  -74%
Previous Close
$48.26
Intrinsic Value
$12.45
Potential        
-74%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
26,176

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-10-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-01-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %18.5NaN
Revenue, $11386NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m10263NaN
Operating income, $m1123NaN
EBITDA, $m1351NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m1126NaN
Tax expense, $m217NaN
Net income, $m909NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m635NaN
Total assets, $m12696NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m12061NaN
Average production assets, $m7286NaN
Working capital, $m1532NaN
Total debt, $m3399NaN
Total liabilities, $m5723NaN
Total equity, $m6973NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.487NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.528NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m909NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m228NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m1002NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-230NaN
Free cash flow, $m1232NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m1532
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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