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Intrinsic Value of LKQ Corporation (LKQ)

Previous Close$38.68
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$38.68

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

LKQ Corporation operates as a leading global distributor of vehicle replacement parts, components, and systems, serving both the aftermarket and original equipment manufacturer (OEM) segments. The company specializes in providing cost-effective alternatives to new OEM parts, including recycled, refurbished, and remanufactured products, as well as aftermarket components. Its diversified portfolio spans collision and mechanical parts, catering to repair shops, dealerships, and wholesale distributors across North America, Europe, and other international markets. LKQ’s vertically integrated supply chain and extensive distribution network enable it to offer a broad product selection with competitive pricing and reliable availability. The company’s market position is reinforced by its strategic acquisitions, which have expanded its geographic footprint and product offerings. In the highly fragmented automotive parts industry, LKQ stands out for its scale, operational efficiency, and ability to serve a wide range of customer needs. Its focus on sustainability through recycled parts further differentiates it in an industry increasingly pressured by environmental considerations.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

LKQ reported revenue of $14.36 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $685 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 4.8%. Diluted EPS stood at $2.63, demonstrating steady profitability. Operating cash flow was robust at $1.12 billion, supporting the company’s capital allocation strategy. Capital expenditures totaled $311 million, indicating disciplined reinvestment in operations and growth initiatives.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is underpinned by its ability to maintain healthy margins in a competitive industry. LKQ’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to generate substantial operating cash flow relative to its capital expenditures. This allows for flexibility in funding growth, debt reduction, and shareholder returns, as seen in its dividend payments and potential share repurchases.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

LKQ’s balance sheet shows $234 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $5.61 billion, indicating a leveraged but manageable position. The company’s strong operating cash flow provides ample coverage for interest obligations and debt servicing. Its financial health is further supported by a diversified revenue base and consistent profitability, reducing liquidity risks.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

LKQ has demonstrated growth through organic expansion and strategic acquisitions, particularly in Europe and specialty markets. The company paid a dividend of $1.21 per share, reflecting a commitment to returning capital to shareholders. Future growth may hinge on market consolidation opportunities and operational efficiencies, while dividend sustainability appears supported by cash flow generation.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization derived from 263.6 million shares outstanding, LKQ’s valuation reflects investor expectations of steady growth and margin stability. The stock’s performance will likely depend on execution in integrating acquisitions, managing supply chain costs, and capitalizing on demand for cost-effective auto parts in both mature and emerging markets.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

LKQ’s strategic advantages include its extensive distribution network, diversified product portfolio, and leadership in recycled and aftermarket parts. The outlook remains positive, driven by industry tailwinds such as vehicle aging and repair cost sensitivity. Challenges include competitive pressures and macroeconomic volatility, but the company’s scale and operational agility position it well for sustained performance.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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