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IntroductionThe concept of valuationRevenue and revenue growthVariable costsFixed costsProduction assets

Intrinsic value of LKQ Corporation (LKQ)

Previous Close$48.36
Intrinsic Value$53.40
Upside potential  +10%
Previous Close
$48.36
Intrinsic Value
$53.40
Potential        
+10%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
13,879

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %12.6NaN
Revenue, $13089NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m11615NaN
Operating income, $m1474NaN
EBITDA, $m1758NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m1422NaN
Tax expense, $m331NaN
Net income, $m1091NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m274NaN
Total assets, $m12606NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m12332NaN
Average production assets, $m7977NaN
Working capital, $m2089NaN
Total debt, $m4224NaN
Total liabilities, $m6834NaN
Total equity, $m5772NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.732NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.465NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m1091NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m284NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m1367NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-274NaN
Free cash flow, $m1641NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m2089
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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