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Intrinsic value of Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)

Previous Close$298.85
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$298.85

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
285,013

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %15.4NaN
Revenue, $28318NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m21961NaN
Operating income, $m6357NaN
EBITDA, $m7905NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m6156NaN
Tax expense, $m574NaN
Net income, $m5582NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m3909NaN
Total assets, $m48806NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m44897NaN
Average production assets, $m20234NaN
Working capital, $m3399NaN
Total debt, $m16884NaN
Total liabilities, $m39827NaN
Total equity, $m8979NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio1.880NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.147NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m5582NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m1548NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m7261NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-1310NaN
Free cash flow, $m8571NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m3399
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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