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Intrinsic Value of ManpowerGroup Inc. (MAN)

Previous Close$44.09
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$44.09

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

ManpowerGroup Inc. operates as a global leader in workforce solutions, specializing in staffing, recruitment, and workforce consulting services across diverse industries. The company generates revenue primarily through temporary and permanent placement fees, managed services, and outsourcing solutions, serving clients in over 75 countries. Its diversified portfolio includes specialized brands like Experis for professional recruitment and Talent Solutions for integrated HR services, positioning it as a key player in the human capital management sector. ManpowerGroup differentiates itself through its extensive global network, deep industry expertise, and technology-driven talent platforms, enabling it to address complex labor market challenges. The company competes in a fragmented but growing industry, where demand for flexible workforce solutions remains robust due to evolving labor trends and skill shortages. Its market position is reinforced by strong client relationships, a scalable operating model, and a focus on high-growth sectors such as IT, healthcare, and engineering.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

ManpowerGroup reported revenue of $17.85 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $145.1 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 0.8%. Diluted EPS stood at $3.00, while operating cash flow was $309.2 million, indicating moderate cash generation relative to revenue. Capital expenditures of $51.1 million suggest disciplined investment in operational infrastructure, though profitability metrics remain pressured by competitive industry dynamics and macroeconomic volatility.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is tempered by thin margins, typical of the staffing industry, where pricing pressure and wage inflation can impact profitability. Operating cash flow coverage of net income appears robust, but capital efficiency metrics are modest, with limited visibility on high-return investments. The diluted EPS of $3.00 underscores the challenges of scaling earnings in a labor-intensive business model.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

ManpowerGroup maintains a solid liquidity position, with cash and equivalents of $509.4 million against total debt of $1.23 billion, suggesting manageable leverage. The balance sheet reflects a conservative capital structure, with no immediate refinancing risks. However, the debt-to-equity ratio and interest coverage metrics would benefit from further disclosure to assess long-term financial resilience.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth trends are likely tied to global labor market conditions, with cyclical demand for staffing services. The company’s dividend payout of $3.08 per share indicates a commitment to shareholder returns, though sustainability depends on stabilizing profitability. Historical performance suggests sensitivity to economic cycles, with limited organic growth drivers beyond market recovery.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Current valuation metrics likely reflect subdued earnings expectations, given the company’s low net margin and cyclical exposure. Market pricing may discount future improvements in labor demand or operational efficiency gains. Comparables analysis would be needed to contextualize the stock’s multiple relative to peers in the staffing and HR services sector.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

ManpowerGroup’s strengths lie in its global scale, diversified service offerings, and adaptability to labor market shifts. However, the outlook remains cautious due to macroeconomic uncertainties and competitive pressures. Strategic initiatives focusing on digital transformation and high-margin segments could enhance long-term positioning, but execution risks persist.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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