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Intrinsic Value of Micron Technology, Inc. (MU)

Previous Close$124.53
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$124.53

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Micron Technology, Inc. is a leading global semiconductor company specializing in memory and storage solutions, operating in the highly cyclical and capital-intensive semiconductor industry. The company generates revenue primarily through the sale of DRAM, NAND flash memory, and storage products, which are critical components for data centers, smartphones, PCs, and automotive applications. Micron’s market position is strengthened by its advanced manufacturing capabilities, R&D investments, and strategic partnerships with key technology players, positioning it as one of the top memory suppliers worldwide. The semiconductor memory market is characterized by rapid technological advancements and intense competition, requiring continuous innovation and scale to maintain profitability. Micron differentiates itself through high-performance memory solutions tailored for AI, 5G, and edge computing, aligning with growing demand for data-intensive applications. Despite cyclical downturns, the company’s diversified product portfolio and long-term supply agreements with hyperscalers and OEMs provide stability. Micron’s ability to navigate pricing volatility and supply-demand imbalances underscores its resilience in a challenging sector.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Micron reported revenue of $25.1 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $778 million, reflecting a recovery from prior cyclical lows. Diluted EPS stood at $0.70, indicating modest profitability amid industry headwinds. Operating cash flow was robust at $8.5 billion, though capital expenditures of $8.4 billion highlight the capital-intensive nature of semiconductor manufacturing. The company’s operating leverage remains sensitive to memory pricing trends and utilization rates.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Micron’s earnings power is closely tied to memory market conditions, with cyclical swings impacting margins. The company’s capital efficiency is constrained by high capex requirements for leading-edge nodes, but its strong operating cash flow supports reinvestment. ROIC fluctuates with industry cycles, but long-term investments in next-gen DRAM and NAND technologies aim to sustain competitive returns.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Micron maintains a solid liquidity position with $7.0 billion in cash and equivalents, though total debt of $14.0 billion reflects leverage used to fund capacity expansions. The balance sheet remains manageable, with ample cash flow to service obligations. The company’s financial health is stable, but leverage metrics warrant monitoring during industry downturns.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Micron’s growth is driven by secular demand for memory in AI, cloud, and automotive markets, though near-term cyclicality persists. The company pays a modest dividend ($0.46 per share), prioritizing capex and share repurchases for capital allocation. Long-term growth hinges on technology leadership and capacity alignment with demand recovery.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Valuation multiples reflect expectations of a cyclical rebound, with investors pricing in improved pricing and demand for memory products. Market sentiment is cautiously optimistic, anticipating margin expansion as supply-demand dynamics normalize in 2024–2025.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Micron’s strategic advantages include its technology roadmap, manufacturing scale, and customer relationships in high-growth segments. The outlook depends on execution in advanced nodes and demand recovery, with AI and data center trends offering long-term tailwinds. Risks include pricing volatility and geopolitical supply chain disruptions.

Sources

Micron Technology FY 2024 10-K, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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