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Intrinsic value of Netflix, Inc. (NFLX)

Previous Close$186.35
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$186.35

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
82,739

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %18.8NaN
Revenue, $29698NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m23503NaN
Operating income, $m6195NaN
EBITDA, $m18634NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m5840NaN
Tax expense, $m724NaN
Net income, $m5116NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m6028NaN
Total assets, $m44585NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m38557NaN
Average production assets, $m18844NaN
Working capital, $m-419NaN
Total debt, $m18117NaN
Total liabilities, $m28736NaN
Total equity, $m15849NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio1.143NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.281NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m5116NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m12439NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m393NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-525NaN
Free cash flow, $m918NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m-419
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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