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Intrinsic value of National Oilwell Varco, Inc. (NOV)

Previous Close$18.03
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$18.03
Use floor (the cash flow based valuation has rendered a result, which is lower than an estimated minimum value derived from the company’s balance sheet analysis)

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
7,080

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-9.0NaN
Revenue, $5525NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m5659NaN
Operating income, $m-134NaN
EBITDA, $m172NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-235NaN
Tax expense, $m15NaN
Net income, $m-250NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m1591NaN
Total assets, $m9755NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m8164NaN
Average production assets, $m4452NaN
Working capital, $m2992NaN
Total debt, $m2388NaN
Total liabilities, $m4758NaN
Total equity, $m4997NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.478NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.430NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-250NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m306NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m291NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-201NaN
Free cash flow, $m492NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m2992
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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