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IntroductionThe concept of valuationRevenue and revenue growthVariable costsFixed costsProduction assets

Intrinsic value of ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW)

Previous Close$433.03
Intrinsic Value$490.70
Upside potential  +13%
Previous Close
$433.03
Intrinsic Value
$490.70
Potential        
+13%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
86,433

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %30.5NaN
Revenue, $5896NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m5639NaN
Operating income, $m257NaN
EBITDA, $m1023NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m249NaN
Tax expense, $m19NaN
Net income, $m230NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m3308NaN
Total assets, $m10798NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m7490NaN
Average production assets, $m1965NaN
Working capital, $m-32NaN
Total debt, $m2214NaN
Total liabilities, $m7103NaN
Total equity, $m3695NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.599NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.075NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m230NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m766NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m2191NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-392NaN
Free cash flow, $m2583NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m-32
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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