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Intrinsic value of Packaging Corporation of America (PKG)

Previous Close$136.16
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$136.16

VALUATION INPUT DATA (original, your and others' valuations)

ParameterOrig.Your
Date of valuation (DoV)  
Intrinsic value (IV) at DoV, $/sh  
IV at current val. algorithm, $/sh68.12 

The original valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-09-30.

Registered users can save their valuation input data

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

Company description

Packaging Corporation of America manufactures and sells containerboard and corrugated packaging products in the United States. The company operates through Packaging and Paper segments. The Packaging segment offers various containerboard and corrugated packaging products, such as conventional shipping containers used to protect and transport manufactured goods; multi-color boxes and displays that help to merchandise the packaged product in retail locations; and honeycomb protective packaging products, as well as packaging for meat, fresh fruit and vegetables, processed food, beverages, and other industrial and consumer products. This segment sells its corrugated products through a direct sales and marketing organization, independent brokers, and distribution partners. The Paper segment manufactures and sells commodity and specialty papers, as well as communication papers, including cut-size office papers, and printing and converting papers. This segment sells white papers through its sales and marketing organization. Packaging Corporation of America was founded in 1867 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %16.1NaN
Revenue, $7730NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m6489NaN
Operating income, $m1241NaN
EBITDA, $m1663NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m1102NaN
Tax expense, $m268NaN
Net income, $m835NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m705NaN
Total assets, $m7837NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m7132NaN
Average production assets, $m4557NaN
Working capital, $m1848NaN
Total debt, $m2484NaN
Total liabilities, $m4230NaN
Total equity, $m3607NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.689NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.407NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m835NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m422NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m1094NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-597NaN
Free cash flow, $m1691NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m1848
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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