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Intrinsic Value of Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST)

Previous Close$131.55
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$131.55

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2025 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Ross Stores, Inc. operates as a leading off-price retail chain in the United States, specializing in discounted apparel, accessories, footwear, and home goods. The company’s revenue model hinges on opportunistic purchasing of excess inventory from manufacturers and retailers at significant discounts, allowing it to offer branded merchandise at 20-60% below department store prices. Ross Stores primarily targets value-conscious consumers through its Ross Dress for Less and dd’s DISCOUNTS banners, which cater to middle-income households seeking quality brands at affordable prices. The off-price sector is highly competitive, with rivals like TJX Companies and Burlington Stores, but Ross maintains a strong market position through disciplined inventory management and a lean operating structure. Its decentralized buying strategy enables flexibility in sourcing, while its no-frills store format minimizes overhead costs. The company’s focus on suburban and urban locations ensures broad accessibility, reinforcing its reputation as a go-to destination for bargain shoppers. Ross’s ability to adapt to shifting consumer preferences and economic conditions underscores its resilience in the volatile retail landscape.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Ross Stores reported revenue of $21.1 billion for FY 2025, with net income of $2.1 billion, reflecting a net margin of approximately 9.9%. Diluted EPS stood at $6.32, demonstrating consistent profitability. Operating cash flow was robust at $2.36 billion, supported by efficient inventory turnover and disciplined cost management. Capital expenditures totaled $720 million, indicating ongoing investments in store expansion and infrastructure. The company’s ability to maintain healthy margins in a competitive off-price retail environment highlights its operational efficiency.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Ross Stores generates strong earnings power, as evidenced by its $2.1 billion net income and $6.32 diluted EPS. The company’s capital efficiency is underscored by its ability to deliver high returns on invested capital (ROIC) despite operating in a low-margin industry. Operating cash flow of $2.36 billion provides ample liquidity for reinvestment and shareholder returns, while prudent capital allocation ensures sustainable growth. Ross’s lean cost structure and opportunistic buying strategy enhance its earnings durability.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Ross Stores maintains a solid balance sheet, with $4.73 billion in cash and equivalents and $5.68 billion in total debt. The company’s liquidity position is strong, supported by healthy operating cash flow. While leverage exists, it is manageable given Ross’s consistent profitability and cash generation. The balance sheet reflects a conservative approach to financial management, ensuring flexibility to navigate economic cycles and invest in growth initiatives.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Ross Stores has demonstrated steady growth, driven by store expansion and comparable sales increases. The company’s dividend policy is shareholder-friendly, with a dividend per share of $1.49, reflecting a commitment to returning capital to investors. Future growth is expected to be fueled by new store openings and market share gains in the off-price segment. Ross’s ability to sustain growth while maintaining profitability positions it well for long-term success.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Ross Stores trades at a valuation reflective of its stable earnings and growth prospects. The market appears to price in the company’s ability to maintain its competitive edge in the off-price retail sector. Investors likely expect continued margin resilience and market share gains, supported by Ross’s disciplined operating model and strong brand positioning. Valuation multiples suggest confidence in the company’s ability to deliver consistent returns.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Ross Stores’ strategic advantages include its disciplined inventory management, opportunistic sourcing, and cost-efficient store operations. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on consumer demand for value-oriented shopping, particularly in uncertain economic environments. The outlook remains positive, with growth opportunities in both existing and new markets. Ross’s focus on operational excellence and customer value should sustain its competitive position and drive long-term shareholder value.

Sources

10-K, investor presentations, Bloomberg

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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