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Intrinsic value of Starbucks Corporation (SBUX)

Previous Close$73.39
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$73.39
Use floor (the cash flow based valuation has rendered a result, which is lower than an estimated minimum value derived from the company’s balance sheet analysis)

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
86,600

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-09-30 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %23.6NaN
Revenue, $29059NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m24187NaN
Operating income, $m4872NaN
EBITDA, $m7645NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m5356NaN
Tax expense, $m1157NaN
Net income, $m4199NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m6618NaN
Total assets, $m31393NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m24775NaN
Average production assets, $m18579NaN
Working capital, $m1605NaN
Total debt, $m23605NaN
Total liabilities, $m36714NaN
Total equity, $m-5321NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio-4.436NaN
Adjusted equity ratio-0.391NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m4199NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m2773NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m7477NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-1470NaN
Free cash flow, $m8947NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m1605
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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