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Intrinsic Value of The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW)

Previous Close$354.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$354.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

The Sherwin-Williams Company operates as a global leader in the paints and coatings industry, serving professional, industrial, and retail customers. Its core revenue model is driven by the manufacture, distribution, and sale of coatings, paints, and related products through a vertically integrated supply chain. The company operates across three segments: The Americas Group, Consumer Brands Group, and Performance Coatings Group, each targeting distinct customer bases with tailored solutions. Sherwin-Williams holds a dominant market position in North America, supported by its extensive network of company-owned stores and strong brand recognition. The company differentiates itself through innovation, quality, and customer service, catering to both residential and commercial markets. Its Performance Coatings segment serves industrial applications, including automotive and aerospace, reinforcing its diversified revenue streams. Competitive advantages include economies of scale, proprietary technology, and a direct-to-customer distribution model that enhances margins and market penetration.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Sherwin-Williams reported revenue of $23.1 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $2.68 billion, reflecting a robust margin profile. Diluted EPS stood at $10.55, demonstrating strong earnings power. Operating cash flow was $3.15 billion, supported by efficient working capital management. Capital expenditures of $1.07 billion indicate ongoing investments in growth and operational efficiency, aligning with the company’s strategic priorities.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is underscored by its ability to generate consistent profitability despite cyclical demand in the coatings industry. Sherwin-Williams maintains high capital efficiency, with disciplined reinvestment and a focus on high-return projects. Its vertically integrated model enhances cost control, while pricing power and product mix optimization contribute to stable margins across economic cycles.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Sherwin-Williams’ balance sheet shows $210.4 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $11.91 billion, reflecting a leveraged but manageable position. The company’s strong cash flow generation supports debt servicing and strategic initiatives. Liquidity remains adequate, with operational flexibility to navigate market fluctuations and pursue growth opportunities.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth has been steady, driven by market share gains and pricing strategies. The company has a history of returning capital to shareholders, with a dividend per share of $2.85 in FY 2024. Sherwin-Williams balances reinvestment with shareholder returns, maintaining a sustainable payout ratio while funding organic and inorganic growth initiatives.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market values Sherwin-Williams for its industry leadership, consistent earnings, and growth potential. Current valuation multiples reflect expectations of mid-single-digit revenue growth and margin stability. Investor sentiment is supported by the company’s resilient business model and ability to outperform in both favorable and challenging economic conditions.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Sherwin-Williams benefits from its strong brand, distribution network, and innovation capabilities. The outlook remains positive, with growth expected in professional and industrial segments. Strategic initiatives, including digital transformation and sustainability-focused products, position the company for long-term success. Macroeconomic factors, such as housing demand and industrial activity, will influence near-term performance, but the company’s diversified model mitigates risks.

Sources

10-K, Investor Presentations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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