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IntroductionThe concept of valuationRevenue and revenue growthVariable costsFixed costsProduction assets

Intrinsic value of Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN)

Previous Close$85.28
Intrinsic Value$65.00
Upside potential  -24%
Previous Close
$85.28
Intrinsic Value
$65.00*
Potential        
-24%
Use floor (the cash flow based valuation has rendered a result, which is lower than an estimated minimum value derived from the company’s balance sheet analysis)

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
31,127

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-09-30 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %9.0NaN
Revenue, $47049NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m42653NaN
Operating income, $m4396NaN
EBITDA, $m5591NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m4028NaN
Tax expense, $m981NaN
Net income, $m3047NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m2634NaN
Total assets, $m36309NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m33675NaN
Average production assets, $m25619NaN
Working capital, $m3497NaN
Total debt, $m9871NaN
Total liabilities, $m18586NaN
Total equity, $m17723NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.557NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.484NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m3047NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m1195NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m3840NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-1209NaN
Free cash flow, $m5049NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m3497
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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