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Intrinsic value of Textron Inc. (TXT)

Previous Close$62.49
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$62.49
Use floor (the cash flow based valuation has rendered a result, which is lower than an estimated minimum value derived from the company’s balance sheet analysis)

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
13,554

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %6.3NaN
Revenue, $12382NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m11518NaN
Operating income, $m864NaN
EBITDA, $m1254NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m872NaN
Tax expense, $m126NaN
Net income, $m746NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m2117NaN
Total assets, $m15827NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m13710NaN
Average production assets, $m4680NaN
Working capital, $m4910NaN
Total debt, $m3185NaN
Total liabilities, $m9012NaN
Total equity, $m6815NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.467NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.343NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m746NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m390NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m1598NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-372NaN
Free cash flow, $m1970NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m4910
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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