investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueAichi Steel Corporation (5482.T)

Previous Close¥2,867.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
¥2,867.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2025 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Aichi Steel Corporation operates as a specialized steel manufacturer in Japan, producing a diverse range of high-performance steel products, forged components, and electromagnetic materials. The company serves critical industries such as automotive, construction, and industrial machinery, leveraging its expertise in specialty steels, including carbon, alloy, and stainless variants, as well as titanium and tool steels. Its product portfolio extends to electromagnetic components like sensors and bonded magnets, catering to niche applications in electronics and dental technology. Aichi Steel maintains a strong domestic presence, supported by vertically integrated operations spanning raw material processing, forging, and precision manufacturing. The company differentiates itself through technical capabilities in high-pressure hydrogen-resistant materials and customized solutions for industrial clients. While facing competition from global steel producers, Aichi Steel retains a competitive edge in Japan's mid-tier steel market through its diversified offerings and long-standing customer relationships in the automotive supply chain.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Aichi Steel reported revenue of JPY 299.3 billion for FY2025, with net income of JPY 7.8 billion, reflecting a net margin of approximately 2.6%. Operating cash flow stood at JPY 25.4 billion, against capital expenditures of JPY 22.4 billion, indicating moderate reinvestment needs. The company's profitability metrics suggest efficient cost management in a cyclical industry, though margins remain sensitive to raw material price fluctuations and demand from key sectors like automotive manufacturing.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company generated diluted EPS of JPY 398, demonstrating stable earnings capacity despite steel market volatility. With a beta of 0.54, Aichi Steel exhibits lower systematic risk than the broader market, attributable to its diversified product mix and established customer base. Capital efficiency appears balanced, with operating cash flow sufficiently covering maintenance capex while allowing for selective growth investments in specialty steel applications.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Aichi Steel maintains a conservative financial position with JPY 36.3 billion in cash against JPY 64.6 billion of total debt. The debt level appears manageable given the company's cash generation capacity and JPY 143.6 billion market capitalization. Working capital management seems adequate, supported by stable operating cash flows, though the capital-intensive nature of steel production requires ongoing monitoring of liquidity ratios.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company offers a modest dividend yield with JPY 50 per share distribution, reflecting a payout ratio aligned with industry norms. Growth prospects hinge on demand from automotive and industrial sectors, with potential upside from specialized applications like hydrogen-resistant materials. Aichi Steel's focus on high-value steel products positions it to benefit from Japan's advanced manufacturing ecosystem, though cyclical demand patterns may constrain consistent top-line expansion.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a market cap of JPY 143.6 billion, Aichi Steel's valuation reflects its niche positioning in Japan's steel industry. The P/E ratio derived from current EPS suggests market expectations of stable but unspectacular earnings growth, consistent with the mature nature of its core markets. Investors likely price in moderate cyclical recovery potential balanced against structural challenges in domestic manufacturing demand.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Aichi Steel's technical expertise in specialty steels and forged components provides durable competitive advantages in precision manufacturing applications. The company's outlook remains tied to Japanese industrial production trends, with opportunities in emerging areas like hydrogen infrastructure and advanced electronics. Strategic challenges include maintaining pricing power amid global steel oversupply and adapting to evolving automotive material requirements as the industry transitions toward electrification.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047204820492050

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount