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Intrinsic ValueANTA Sports-r (82020.HK)

Previous CloseHK$69.75
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$69.75

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

ANTA Sports is a dominant Chinese athletic wear conglomerate operating a multi-brand portfolio strategy. Its core revenue model is the design, manufacturing, and wholesale/retail of performance and lifestyle sportswear, footwear, and accessories. The company operates through a vast network of owned and franchised stores alongside e-commerce channels, targeting diverse consumer segments from mass-market to premium. ANTA's brand architecture is meticulously segmented; the flagship ANTA brand serves the value and professional performance market, while its acquisition of FILA drives premium fashion-sport growth. Further diversification is achieved through specialized brands like DESCENTE for high-tech winter sports and KOLON SPORT for outdoor apparel. This multi-brand approach insulates the company from single-brand volatility and allows it to capture value across the entire consumer spectrum. Its extensive control over the supply chain, from R&D to retail, provides significant operational leverage and brand stewardship, cementing its position as a market leader in China's vast and competitive sportswear sector.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

ANTA demonstrates robust financial performance with FY2024 revenue of CNY 70.8 billion. The company exhibits high profitability, converting this revenue into a substantial net income of CNY 15.6 billion. This indicates strong operational efficiency and effective cost management across its multi-brand portfolio and extensive retail network, translating top-line growth effectively to the bottom line.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company possesses significant earnings power, evidenced by a diluted EPS of CNY 5.41. Strong operating cash flow of CNY 16.7 billion significantly exceeds capital expenditures of CNY 2.3 billion, indicating the business generates ample cash from its core operations to fund investments and growth while maintaining high capital efficiency.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

ANTA maintains a solid balance sheet with a cash position of CNY 11.4 billion. While total debt is reported at CNY 28.1 billion, the substantial operating cash flow provides a strong capacity to service obligations. The overall financial structure appears healthy, supporting its aggressive growth and brand acquisition strategy.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

ANTA's growth is fueled by its successful multi-brand strategy and expansion within China's burgeoning sportswear market. The company complements this growth with a shareholder-friendly capital allocation policy, evidenced by a generous dividend per share of CNY 10.37, indicating a commitment to returning capital to investors alongside reinvestment for expansion.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 243.8 billion, the market valuation reflects high expectations for sustained growth and profitability. A beta of 0.77 suggests the stock is perceived as less volatile than the broader market, potentially indicating investor confidence in its stable business model and market position.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

ANTA's key strategic advantages include its portfolio of distinct brands, deep penetration in the critical China market, and vertical integration. The outlook remains positive, leveraging long-term consumer trends towards athleticwear and wellness, though it is contingent on continued brand management and navigating intense competitive pressures.

Sources

Company Annual ReportHong Kong Stock Exchange Filings

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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