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Intrinsic Value of Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP)

Previous Close$61.10
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$61.10

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2023-06-30.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year(a)2023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %1.4NaN
Revenue, $11155NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m10441NaN
Operating income, $m714NaN
EBITDA, $m998NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m649NaN
Tax expense, $m147NaN
Net income, $m502NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m269NaN
Total assets, $m12018NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m11749NaN
Average production assets, $m3237NaN
Working capital, $m676NaN
Total debt, $m1373NaN
Total liabilities, $m9340NaN
Total equity, $m2678NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.513NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.221NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m502NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m284NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m722NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-423NaN
Free cash flow, $m1145NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m676
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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