investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Albany International Corp. (AIN)

Previous Close$72.23
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$72.23

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Albany International Corp. operates as a diversified industrial company with two primary segments: Machine Clothing (MC) and Albany Engineered Composites (AEC). The MC segment is a global leader in custom-designed fabrics and process belts used in paper, packaging, and other industrial applications, leveraging proprietary technology to enhance efficiency. The AEC segment specializes in advanced composite structures for aerospace and defense, serving high-growth markets with engineered solutions. Albany International maintains a strong competitive position through innovation, long-term customer relationships, and a reputation for reliability. Its dual-segment approach balances steady industrial demand with exposure to high-value aerospace opportunities, reinforcing its resilience across economic cycles. The company’s expertise in materials science and manufacturing precision allows it to command premium pricing and secure long-term contracts, particularly in aerospace, where performance and durability are critical.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Albany International reported revenue of $1.23 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $87.6 million, translating to diluted EPS of $2.80. Operating cash flow stood at $218.4 million, reflecting solid cash generation. Capital expenditures of $80.2 million indicate ongoing investments in growth and operational efficiency. The company’s ability to convert revenue into cash underscores disciplined cost management and working capital optimization.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is supported by its high-margin MC segment and the growth potential of AEC. With an operating cash flow margin of approximately 17.7%, Albany International demonstrates effective capital deployment. Its focus on aerospace composites aligns with long-term industry trends, while the MC segment provides stable cash flows, enhancing overall capital efficiency.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Albany International maintains a balanced financial position, with $115.3 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $387.2 million. The manageable leverage and strong liquidity position provide flexibility for strategic investments or shareholder returns. The company’s disciplined approach to debt management ensures financial stability amid cyclical demand in its end markets.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is driven by aerospace demand and industrial innovation, with AEC positioned for long-term expansion. The company pays a dividend of $1.04 per share, reflecting a commitment to returning capital to shareholders. While dividend growth has been modest, the payout remains sustainable, supported by consistent cash flows.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market values Albany International at a premium, reflecting its niche leadership and growth prospects in engineered composites. Investors likely anticipate margin expansion in AEC and steady performance in MC, pricing in long-term aerospace tailwinds. The current valuation suggests confidence in the company’s ability to execute its dual-segment strategy.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Albany International’s strategic advantages include technological expertise, diversified revenue streams, and entrenched customer relationships. The outlook remains positive, with aerospace demand and industrial efficiency trends driving growth. Risks include cyclical exposure and competition, but the company’s innovation focus positions it well for sustained performance.

Sources

10-K filing, company investor relations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount