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Intrinsic Value of Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG)

Previous Close$294.58
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$294.58

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2023-06-30.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year(a)2023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %4.2NaN
Revenue, $8551NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m6967NaN
Operating income, $m1584NaN
EBITDA, $m2184NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m1325NaN
Tax expense, $m211NaN
Net income, $m1114NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m4964NaN
Total assets, $m38908NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m33944NaN
Average production assets, $m13279NaN
Working capital, $m947NaN
Total debt, $m6197NaN
Total liabilities, $m29718NaN
Total equity, $m9190NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.674NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.143NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m1114NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m600NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m2125NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-183NaN
Free cash flow, $m2308NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m947
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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