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Intrinsic ValueBooking Holdings Inc. (BKNG.SW)

Previous CloseCHF1,711.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
CHF1,711.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Booking Holdings Inc. is a global leader in online travel and restaurant reservation services, operating a diversified portfolio of brands including Booking.com, Priceline, Agoda, KAYAK, and OpenTable. The company generates revenue primarily through commission-based models, advertising, and ancillary services such as travel insurance and restaurant management solutions. Its platform connects consumers with a vast network of accommodations, flights, rental cars, and dining options, leveraging technology to streamline the booking process. As a dominant player in the consumer cyclical sector, Booking Holdings benefits from strong brand recognition, extensive global reach, and a data-driven approach to personalized travel experiences. The company competes in a highly dynamic industry, where it maintains a competitive edge through continuous innovation, strategic acquisitions, and partnerships. Its market position is reinforced by economies of scale, a loyal customer base, and a robust technological infrastructure that supports seamless transactions across multiple geographies and service verticals.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2022, Booking Holdings reported revenue of CHF 17.09 billion, with net income reaching CHF 3.06 billion, reflecting a healthy profit margin. The company demonstrated strong operational efficiency, generating CHF 6.55 billion in operating cash flow, supported by disciplined cost management and high-margin digital services. Capital expenditures were modest at CHF -368 million, indicating a capital-light business model that prioritizes scalability.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's diluted EPS of CHF 76.35 underscores its earnings power, driven by high-margin online bookings and ancillary services. Booking Holdings efficiently deploys capital, with significant cash reserves (CHF 12.22 billion) and manageable total debt (CHF 13.04 billion), ensuring flexibility for strategic investments and shareholder returns. Its asset-light model enhances return on invested capital.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Booking Holdings maintains a robust balance sheet, with CHF 12.22 billion in cash and equivalents against CHF 13.04 billion in total debt. The company's strong liquidity position and low leverage ratio provide financial stability, enabling it to navigate cyclical downturns and capitalize on growth opportunities. Its net cash position supports strategic flexibility.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has historically prioritized reinvestment over dividends, with no dividend payouts in FY 2022. Growth is driven by global travel demand, digital adoption, and expansion into emerging markets. Booking Holdings' focus on technology and customer experience positions it to benefit from long-term secular trends in online travel and dining reservations.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of CHF 81.31 billion, Booking Holdings trades at a premium, reflecting its market leadership and growth potential. Investors likely anticipate sustained revenue expansion and margin resilience, supported by the recovery in global travel post-pandemic and the company's diversified revenue streams.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Booking Holdings' strategic advantages include its multi-brand platform, global scale, and technological expertise. The outlook remains positive, with tailwinds from increasing travel demand and digital transformation. However, macroeconomic volatility and competitive pressures pose risks. The company's focus on innovation and operational efficiency should help sustain its competitive position.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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