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Intrinsic Value of First Busey Corporation (BUSE)

Previous Close$24.38
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$24.38

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

First Busey Corporation operates as a financial holding company primarily through its subsidiary, Busey Bank, which provides a comprehensive suite of banking services to retail, commercial, and wealth management clients. The company generates revenue through interest income from loans and investments, fee-based services, and wealth management solutions. Its operations are concentrated in the Midwest, particularly Illinois, Missouri, Indiana, and Florida, where it maintains a strong regional presence. Busey differentiates itself through personalized customer service, community-focused banking, and a diversified revenue mix that includes commercial lending, residential mortgages, and trust services. The bank’s market positioning is reinforced by its conservative underwriting standards and a focus on relationship banking, which has helped it maintain stable deposit funding and loan growth. In a competitive regional banking landscape, Busey leverages its local expertise and mid-sized agility to serve small businesses and retail clients effectively while maintaining prudent risk management practices.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, First Busey reported revenue of $461.4 million and net income of $113.7 million, translating to a diluted EPS of $1.98. The company’s operating cash flow stood at $178.3 million, with no reported capital expenditures, indicating strong cash generation efficiency. These figures reflect steady profitability and disciplined cost management, supported by a diversified revenue base.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

First Busey demonstrates solid earnings power, with a net income margin of approximately 24.6%, underscoring its ability to convert revenue into profit effectively. The absence of capital expenditures suggests a lean operational model, with resources allocated toward high-return activities such as lending and wealth management. The company’s capital efficiency is further evidenced by its ability to sustain profitability while maintaining conservative leverage.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

As of the end of FY 2024, First Busey held $697.7 million in cash and equivalents, providing ample liquidity. Total debt stood at $313.6 million, reflecting a manageable leverage ratio. The balance sheet appears robust, with sufficient liquidity to support lending activities and absorb potential economic shocks, aligning with the company’s conservative financial strategy.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

First Busey has maintained a consistent dividend policy, paying $0.96 per share in dividends during FY 2024. While growth trends in revenue and net income appear stable, the company’s focus on regional banking and wealth management suggests incremental rather than aggressive expansion. The dividend payout ratio remains sustainable, reflecting a commitment to returning capital to shareholders while retaining earnings for reinvestment.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a diluted EPS of $1.98 and a dividend yield anchored by its $0.96 annual payout, First Busey’s valuation likely reflects its steady, low-growth profile. Market expectations appear aligned with its regional banking focus, where premium valuations are typically reserved for institutions with higher growth or efficiency metrics. The stock’s performance may hinge on interest rate trends and regional economic conditions.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

First Busey’s strategic advantages include its strong regional presence, diversified revenue streams, and conservative risk management. The outlook remains stable, with potential growth tied to organic lending expansion and wealth management services. However, macroeconomic factors such as interest rate fluctuations and competitive pressures in regional banking could influence future performance. The company’s disciplined approach positions it well for sustained, albeit modest, growth.

Sources

10-K filing, company financial statements

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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