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Stock Analysis & ValuationFirst Busey Corporation (BUSE)

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$24.61
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
High
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)35.3744
Intrinsic value (DCF)168.91586
Graham-Dodd Method14.23-42
Graham Formula36.3148
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Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

First Busey Corporation (NASDAQ: BUSE) is a regional bank holding company operating through its subsidiary, Busey Bank, providing a comprehensive suite of retail and commercial banking services. Founded in 1868 and headquartered in Champaign, Illinois, the company serves individual, corporate, institutional, and governmental clients across Illinois, Missouri, Florida, and Indiana. Its operations are segmented into Banking, FirsTech (payment technology solutions), and Wealth Management, offering deposit accounts, loans, trust services, and innovative payment processing solutions. With 58 banking centers, Busey Bank emphasizes community-focused banking while leveraging technology for efficient service delivery. The company’s diversified revenue streams—spanning traditional banking, wealth advisory, and fintech-enabled payment solutions—position it competitively in the regional banking sector. Its long-standing presence in the Midwest and strategic expansion into Florida enhance its growth prospects in a competitive financial services landscape.

Investment Summary

First Busey Corporation presents a stable investment opportunity within the regional banking sector, supported by its diversified business model and consistent profitability. With a market cap of ~$1.93B, the company reported $461M in revenue and $113.7M net income in its latest fiscal year, alongside a diluted EPS of $1.98. Its conservative beta (0.753) suggests lower volatility relative to the broader market, appealing to risk-averse investors. The dividend yield (~2.5% based on a $0.98 annual payout) adds income appeal. However, risks include exposure to regional economic fluctuations and competitive pressures from larger national banks. The FirsTech segment’s growth in payment solutions could offset margin compression from traditional banking, but reliance on interest income remains a sensitivity.

Competitive Analysis

First Busey’s competitive advantage lies in its hybrid model combining community banking with niche technology-driven services (FirsTech) and wealth management. Its regional focus fosters deep customer relationships, while FirsTech’s payment platforms (e.g., walk-in processing, mobile bill pay) differentiate it from traditional peers. The wealth management segment contributes fee-based income, reducing reliance on net interest margins. However, its scale is limited compared to national banks, constraining pricing power and tech investment capacity. Geographically, its Midwest concentration exposes it to agricultural and manufacturing sector cycles, though Florida expansion diversifies this risk. Competitively, Busey’s ~$1.9B asset base is modest relative to regional peers, but its low-cost deposit base (evidenced by strong operating cash flow of $178M) supports liquidity. The bank’s conservative leverage (total debt of $314M against $698M cash) underscores prudent risk management. Challenges include competing with larger banks’ digital offerings and fintech disruptors in payment solutions.

Major Competitors

  • Hope Bancorp (HOPE): Hope Bancorp operates in similar regional markets with a focus on commercial lending. Its larger asset base (~$18B) provides scale advantages, but Busey’s diversified revenue (including FirsTech) offers better resilience to interest rate volatility. Hope’s exposure to CRE loans poses higher cyclical risks.
  • Webster Financial Corporation (WBS): Webster Financial, with ~$75B assets, outperforms Busey in scale and digital banking capabilities. However, Busey’s lower-cost operating model and niche payment solutions provide differentiation. Webster’s Northeast focus contrasts with Busey’s Midwest-Florida footprint.
  • Old National Bancorp (ONB): A Midwest peer with ~$50B assets, Old National’s broader geographic reach and M&A activity challenge Busey’s market share. Busey’s FirsTech segment and higher net interest margin (3.2% vs. Old National’s 2.9%) are comparative strengths.
  • Simmons First National Corporation (SFNC): Simmons’ $27B asset base and Southeast presence overlap with Busey’s Florida operations. Busey’s wealth management segment is more developed, but Simmons’ larger scale supports cost efficiencies.
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