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Intrinsic Value of Blackstone Secured Lending Fund (BXSL)

Previous Close$31.20
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$31.20

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund (BXSL) operates as a business development company (BDC) specializing in direct lending to middle-market companies. The firm primarily generates revenue through interest income from senior secured loans, offering flexible financing solutions to private U.S. businesses. BXSL benefits from Blackstone’s extensive credit platform, leveraging its underwriting expertise and deep industry relationships to source high-quality deals. The fund focuses on defensive sectors with stable cash flows, positioning itself as a reliable capital provider in the private credit market. Its competitive edge lies in Blackstone’s institutional scale, proprietary deal flow, and rigorous risk management, allowing it to maintain a diversified portfolio with low loss rates. The BDC model aligns with growing demand for private credit as traditional bank lending retreats, reinforcing BXSL’s role as a key player in the $1 trillion+ private debt market.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

BXSL reported $1.05 billion in revenue for FY 2024, driven by interest income from its loan portfolio. Net income stood at $694 million, reflecting strong underwriting discipline and efficient cost management. The diluted EPS of $3.45 underscores solid earnings power, though negative operating cash flow of $2.53 billion highlights the fund’s reinvestment strategy in new loan originations. Capital expenditures were negligible, consistent with its asset-light model.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The fund’s earnings are supported by a high-yielding loan portfolio, with disciplined credit selection minimizing defaults. BXSL’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to generate consistent net investment income, though leverage (total debt of $7.06 billion) is employed to enhance returns. The absence of capex requirements allows for efficient capital deployment into income-producing assets.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

BXSL maintains a conservative balance sheet with $229.6 million in cash and equivalents, providing liquidity for new investments. Total debt of $7.06 billion is manageable given the senior secured nature of its assets. The fund’s leverage ratio aligns with BDC regulatory limits, and its asset coverage remains robust, supporting financial stability.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

BXSL has demonstrated steady growth in its loan portfolio, benefiting from rising demand for private credit. The fund pays a substantial dividend ($2.90 per share), reflecting its focus on income generation. Dividend coverage appears sustainable given current earnings, though future growth may depend on interest rate trends and portfolio performance.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The fund trades at a premium to NAV, reflecting investor confidence in Blackstone’s credit platform and BXSL’s consistent dividend yield. Market expectations are anchored to stable interest income and low credit losses, though macroeconomic volatility could impact valuations.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

BXSL’s affiliation with Blackstone provides access to proprietary deal flow and institutional resources, differentiating it from peers. The outlook remains positive, supported by structural demand for private credit, though rising rates and economic uncertainty warrant cautious monitoring. The fund is well-positioned to capitalize on market dislocations while maintaining credit quality.

Sources

10-K filings, Blackstone investor presentations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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