investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueCommonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA.SW)

Previous CloseCHF53.18
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
CHF53.18

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2025 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) is a leading diversified financial services provider, operating primarily in Australia and New Zealand. The bank’s core revenue model is built on interest income from loans and fee-based services across retail, business, and institutional banking. CBA offers a comprehensive suite of financial products, including transaction accounts, loans, insurance, wealth management, and capital markets services, positioning it as a full-service financial institution. The bank’s extensive branch network and digital platforms reinforce its dominance in the Australian market, where it holds a significant share of household deposits and mortgages. CBA’s diversified operations mitigate sector-specific risks while capitalizing on cross-selling opportunities. Its institutional banking arm provides tailored solutions for corporate clients, enhancing revenue stability. The bank’s strong brand recognition and customer trust underpin its competitive edge in a highly regulated and concentrated banking sector. CBA’s focus on digital innovation, including its market-leading mobile banking app, further strengthens its market position amid shifting consumer preferences.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

CBA reported revenue of AUD 26.1 billion for the period, with net income reaching AUD 9.4 billion, reflecting a robust net margin of approximately 36%. The bank’s earnings are driven by a balanced mix of interest and non-interest income, supported by efficient cost management. Operating cash flow stood at AUD 8.9 billion, underscoring strong liquidity generation, while capital expenditures were modest at AUD -401 million, indicating disciplined investment.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

CBA’s diluted EPS of AUD 5.58 highlights its earnings power, supported by a high-return banking model. The bank’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to generate substantial profits relative to its asset base. Its diversified revenue streams and prudent risk management contribute to stable earnings, even in fluctuating interest rate environments.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

CBA maintains a solid balance sheet, with cash and equivalents of AUD 48.1 billion providing ample liquidity. Total debt of AUD 249.3 billion reflects its leveraged banking operations, though this is typical for the industry. The bank’s strong capital ratios and low non-performing loan levels indicate sound financial health and risk resilience.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

CBA has demonstrated consistent growth in core banking segments, supported by Australia’s stable economy. The bank’s dividend per share of AUD 2.73 reflects a shareholder-friendly policy, with a payout ratio aligned with regulatory requirements and earnings sustainability. Future growth may hinge on digital adoption and expansion in wealth management.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of AUD 153.9 billion and a beta of 1.29, CBA is priced as a stable yet cyclical financial stock. Investors likely expect steady earnings growth, tempered by macroeconomic risks such as interest rate volatility and housing market exposure.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

CBA’s strategic advantages include its scale, brand strength, and digital leadership in Australia. The bank is well-positioned to navigate regulatory changes and competitive pressures. Its outlook remains positive, driven by cross-selling opportunities and efficiency gains, though macroeconomic headwinds could pose challenges.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047204820492050

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount