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Intrinsic Value of Cadre Holdings, Inc. (CDRE)

Previous Close$32.23
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$32.23

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Cadre Holdings, Inc. operates in the safety and survivability equipment industry, providing mission-critical products to military, law enforcement, and first responders. The company generates revenue through the design, manufacture, and distribution of protective gear, tactical equipment, and duty gear, serving a niche but essential market. Its diversified product portfolio includes body armor, holsters, and restraints, positioning Cadre as a trusted supplier in high-demand sectors where reliability and performance are paramount. The company’s market position is reinforced by long-term contracts with government agencies and defense organizations, ensuring steady demand. Cadre differentiates itself through innovation, compliance with stringent safety standards, and a focus on end-user needs. Its ability to adapt to evolving threats and regulatory requirements strengthens its competitive edge in a fragmented industry. The firm’s revenue model combines recurring sales with periodic upgrades, balancing stability and growth opportunities in a sector driven by public safety spending.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Cadre Holdings reported revenue of $567.6 million for FY 2024, with net income of $36.1 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 6.4%. Diluted EPS stood at $0.90, indicating modest profitability. Operating cash flow was $31.8 million, though capital expenditures of $5.7 million suggest disciplined reinvestment. The company’s efficiency metrics highlight a focus on maintaining profitability while managing operational costs in a capital-intensive industry.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is supported by its niche market focus and recurring revenue streams from government contracts. With an operating cash flow of $31.8 million and relatively low capital expenditures, Cadre demonstrates prudent capital allocation. Its ability to generate cash from core operations underscores its resilience, though further improvements in return on invested capital could enhance long-term shareholder value.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Cadre’s balance sheet shows $124.9 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $238.8 million, indicating a manageable leverage position. The liquidity cushion provides flexibility for strategic initiatives or debt reduction. The company’s financial health appears stable, with sufficient resources to meet near-term obligations and invest in growth opportunities without overextending its leverage.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth trends are likely tied to public sector budgets and contract renewals. Cadre’s dividend of $0.35 per share reflects a commitment to returning capital to shareholders, though the payout ratio remains sustainable given current earnings. Future growth may depend on expanding product lines or securing new contracts, balanced against the cyclical nature of government spending.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization derived from 39.9 million shares outstanding, Cadre’s valuation metrics suggest moderate investor expectations. The company’s niche positioning and steady cash flows may justify a premium, but its growth trajectory will hinge on execution in a competitive and regulated industry. Market sentiment likely balances its defensive attributes against limited near-term catalysts.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Cadre’s strategic advantages include its entrenched relationships with government clients and a reputation for high-quality, compliant products. The outlook remains stable, with potential upside from increased defense and public safety spending. However, reliance on government budgets introduces variability. The company’s ability to innovate and diversify its customer base will be critical to sustaining long-term growth.

Sources

Company filings, CIK 0001860543

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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