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Intrinsic Value of Comcast Corporation (CMCSA)

Previous Close$35.99
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$35.99

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Comcast Corporation operates as a global media and technology leader, with diversified revenue streams spanning broadband, video, wireless, and content production. The company dominates the U.S. cable and broadband market through its Xfinity brand, leveraging its extensive infrastructure to deliver high-speed internet, entertainment, and voice services. Its NBCUniversal segment strengthens its position in entertainment, news, and streaming, while Sky expands its international footprint in Europe. Comcast’s vertically integrated model allows it to monetize content across multiple platforms, from traditional cable to Peacock, its direct-to-consumer streaming service. The company competes with telecom giants and digital disruptors but maintains pricing power due to its network superiority and bundled offerings. Its scale and investments in next-gen technologies like DOCSIS 4.0 and 5G convergence reinforce its market leadership.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Comcast reported $123.7 billion in revenue for FY 2024, with net income of $16.2 billion, reflecting steady demand for connectivity and entertainment. Diluted EPS stood at $4.14, supported by disciplined cost management and high-margin broadband growth. Operating cash flow of $27.7 billion underscores strong cash conversion, though capital expenditures of $15.1 billion highlight ongoing investments in network upgrades and content.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings resilience stems from recurring subscription revenue and scalable infrastructure. Free cash flow generation remains robust, enabling debt reduction and shareholder returns. NBCUniversal’s profitability benefits from synergies between studios, parks, and streaming, though Peacock’s losses are narrowing. Sky’s margins face pressure from European competition, but cost initiatives aim to stabilize performance.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Comcast holds $7.3 billion in cash against $99.1 billion of total debt, reflecting leverage from strategic acquisitions like Sky. Debt maturities are well-laddered, and investment-grade ratings provide liquidity flexibility. The balance sheet supports dividend growth and share repurchases, though deleveraging remains a priority amid rising interest rates.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Broadband subscriber growth continues, offsetting linear TV declines, while Peacock’s subscriber base expands. International markets show mixed trends. The annual dividend of $1.23 per share yields ~2.7%, with a payout ratio below 30%, leaving room for incremental hikes. Buybacks supplement total shareholder returns, targeting $10 billion annually.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a forward P/E near 12x, Comcast is priced below peers, reflecting concerns over cord-cutting and streaming losses. However, broadband’s sticky revenue and NBCU’s cyclical recovery could drive upside. Consensus estimates project mid-single-digit revenue growth, with EBITDA margins stabilizing near 33%.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Comcast’s infrastructure moat and content library provide durable advantages. Near-term headwinds include broadband saturation and streaming investments, but long-term opportunities lie in 10G networks, advertising technology, and global sports rights. Management’s focus on operational efficiency and capital returns positions the company for sustained cash flow growth.

Sources

Company 10-K, Investor Presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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