investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of PC Connection, Inc. (CNXN)

Previous Close$67.28
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$67.28

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

PC Connection, Inc. operates as a value-added reseller of IT solutions, serving corporate, government, and educational clients across the U.S. The company specializes in hardware, software, and cloud-based services, leveraging its technical expertise to provide customized solutions. Its revenue model is built on volume sales, vendor partnerships, and service-based offerings, positioning it as a mid-tier player in the highly competitive IT distribution sector. Unlike larger competitors, PC Connection emphasizes agility and customer-centric support, targeting mid-market clients who require tailored IT infrastructure. The company’s market position is reinforced by long-standing relationships with leading technology vendors, though it faces margin pressures from commoditization and direct-to-customer sales trends. Its ability to integrate emerging technologies like hybrid cloud and cybersecurity into its portfolio provides differentiation in a fragmented industry.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

PC Connection reported $2.80 billion in revenue for FY 2024, with net income of $87.1 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 3.1%. Operating cash flow stood at $173.9 million, indicating efficient working capital management. The absence of capital expenditures suggests a lean operational model, though this may limit long-term scalability. Diluted EPS of $3.29 underscores steady profitability despite sector-wide margin compression.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is driven by its ability to maintain stable gross margins in a low-margin industry, supported by vendor incentives and service revenue. Capital efficiency is evident in its negligible debt ($3.4 million) and strong cash position ($178.3 million), allowing for flexibility in strategic investments or shareholder returns. However, reliance on third-party vendors introduces supply chain risks.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

PC Connection’s balance sheet is robust, with cash and equivalents covering 53x its total debt. The debt-to-equity ratio is minimal, reflecting conservative financial management. Shareholders’ equity is likely healthy given the low leverage, though detailed figures are unavailable. The lack of capex suggests a focus on liquidity over expansion, which may constrain growth in a capital-intensive sector.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth trends are not provided, but the IT distribution sector faces moderate growth headwinds due to market saturation. The company pays a modest dividend ($0.40 per share), signaling a commitment to returning capital while retaining flexibility. Share buybacks or reinvestment could enhance shareholder value if organic growth opportunities remain limited.

Valuation And Market Expectations

At a diluted EPS of $3.29, the stock’s valuation hinges on sector multiples, which typically reflect low growth expectations. The market likely prices PC Connection as a stable but unexceptional performer, with limited premium for innovation. Comparable analysis would require peer P/E benchmarks to assess relative attractiveness.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

PC Connection’s strengths lie in its vendor relationships and niche focus, but it must navigate industry consolidation and direct sales disruption. Strategic partnerships or acquisitions could bolster its market position. The outlook remains cautious, with profitability dependent on operational efficiency and demand for value-added services in a competitive landscape.

Sources

Company filings (CIK: 0001050377), disclosed financials for FY 2024

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount