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Intrinsic Value of CRA International, Inc. (CRAI)

Previous Close$196.88
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$196.88

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

CRA International, Inc. (CRAI) operates as a leading global consulting firm specializing in economic, financial, and management advisory services. The company serves a diverse clientele, including corporations, law firms, and government agencies, leveraging deep expertise in litigation support, regulatory compliance, and strategic decision-making. CRAI's revenue model is primarily fee-based, driven by project engagements and expert testimony, positioning it as a trusted partner in complex, high-stakes disputes and transactions. The firm competes in a niche but growing market, differentiated by its analytical rigor and multidisciplinary approach. Its reputation for delivering data-driven insights allows it to command premium pricing, particularly in antitrust, intellectual property, and financial consulting. CRAI maintains a strong international presence, with offices across North America, Europe, and Asia, enabling it to address cross-border challenges. The consulting industry remains highly fragmented, but CRAI’s focus on specialized, high-value services provides resilience against broader economic volatility.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, CRAI reported revenue of $687.4 million, with net income of $46.7 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 6.8%. Diluted EPS stood at $6.74, demonstrating steady profitability. Operating cash flow was $49.7 million, though capital expenditures of $16.6 million indicate ongoing investments in infrastructure and technology. The firm’s ability to convert revenue into cash underscores operational efficiency, supported by disciplined cost management.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

CRAI’s earnings power is underpinned by its high-margin consulting services, with ROIC likely benefiting from low capital intensity. The firm’s ability to scale expertise across geographies and practice areas enhances capital efficiency. While debt of $103.2 million suggests leverage, strong cash generation ($26.7 million in cash reserves) provides flexibility to service obligations and reinvest in growth initiatives.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

CRAI’s balance sheet remains solid, with $26.7 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $103.2 million. The debt level is manageable given consistent cash flow generation. Shareholders’ equity appears stable, supported by retained earnings and a modest share count (6.8 million outstanding). The firm’s financial health is further reinforced by its ability to fund dividends and organic growth without excessive reliance on external financing.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

CRAI has demonstrated resilience in revenue growth, likely driven by demand for litigation and regulatory consulting. The firm pays a dividend of $1.80 per share, reflecting a commitment to returning capital to shareholders. While dividend growth has been modest, the payout ratio remains sustainable, balancing shareholder returns with reinvestment needs. Future growth may hinge on expanding high-demand services like ESG and digital transformation advisory.

Valuation And Market Expectations

CRAI’s valuation metrics suggest the market prices its shares based on earnings stability and niche expertise. The P/E ratio, derived from $6.74 EPS, aligns with peers in specialized consulting. Investors likely appreciate the firm’s low cyclicality and recurring revenue streams, though premium pricing depends on sustained demand for its high-value services. Market expectations appear balanced, with no significant over- or undervaluation signals.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

CRAI’s strategic advantages lie in its deep domain expertise, global footprint, and reputation for impartial analysis. The outlook remains positive, supported by trends in regulatory scrutiny and complex litigation. Risks include talent retention and competition from larger consultancies, but CRAI’s focus on niche markets and data-driven solutions positions it well for long-term stability and selective growth opportunities.

Sources

10-K filing, company financial statements

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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